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Ongoing Research<br />
monitor household vulnerability, consumption <strong>and</strong> economic activity through surveys<br />
conducted at regular intervals during the period of the project. The baseline survey of 1500<br />
households in 100 villages was completed before the product was marketed in May 2006.<br />
Preliminary results Households that were rich, <strong>and</strong> those whose head was literate or educated,<br />
were much more likely to purchase insurance than those who were not. In addition, financial<br />
contracts are complicated, <strong>and</strong> it can be difficult for a farmer to underst<strong>and</strong> why she should<br />
spend money now, to get an uncertain payout in the future. Indeed, the survey in three<br />
districts of Gujarat found that SEWA members had very low levels of financial literacy: when<br />
given a short test that included questions about risk, inflation, <strong>and</strong> interest rates, members<br />
scored on average no higher than they would have simply by guessing. This was so despite<br />
relatively high math skills, respondents answered, on average, two-thirds of the math questions<br />
correctly. Members attitudes towards risk also mattered. In the baseline survey, respondents<br />
played a simple game, in which they chose between a "safe" option (the certainty of Rs 50),<br />
<strong>and</strong> increasingly risky options that offered a higher return. Two months after the survey,<br />
households who had picked safer choices were much more likely to purchase insurance than<br />
those who had selected riskier options. The most important question, however, will be answered<br />
only after completion of the study: does rainfall insurance improve the welfare of the households<br />
that buy it By carefully tracking households in 100 study villages, the Centre hopes to gain<br />
a clear underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the benefits, <strong>and</strong> limitations of, rainfall insurance.<br />
2. Product design of financial services<br />
The Grameen model is widely accepted by Indian MFIs. However, do we really know what would<br />
happen if we made fixed repayment schedules flexible, or if we moved from joint to individual<br />
liability New products may attract more clients, lead to higher impact while keeping default<br />
rates unchanged. According to Jonathan Morduch, "the full promise of microfinance can be<br />
only realized by returning to the early commitments to experimentation, innovation <strong>and</strong><br />
evaluation" 17 . The goal of CMF is to collaborate with MFIs <strong>and</strong> experiment in such a way that<br />
we can carefully weigh the costs <strong>and</strong> benefits of different product designs. Experimenting<br />
with various components of credit products will help underst<strong>and</strong> which ones work best <strong>and</strong><br />
develop new designs that successfully solve information problems while being innovative <strong>and</strong><br />
closer to the clients' needs.<br />
According to<br />
Jonathan<br />
Morduch, "the<br />
full promise of<br />
microfinance<br />
can be only<br />
realized by<br />
returning to the<br />
early<br />
commitments<br />
to<br />
experimentation,<br />
innovation <strong>and</strong><br />
evaluation"<br />
2.1 Flexible repayment schedules for dairy clients in KAS<br />
Foundation, Orissa 18<br />
Objective <strong>and</strong> methodology Most MFIs offer loan products with fixed repayment schedules -<br />
weekly or monthly. KAS Foundation (KAS), for example, has a monthly repayment system for its<br />
SHG clients. Yet fixed repayments may not be best for most clients, particularly if their income<br />
is subject to variations due to seasonal activities, business cycle, health, <strong>and</strong> other risks.<br />
The Centre is conducting a r<strong>and</strong>omized experiment to evaluate the benefits of tailoring repayment<br />
schedules to the dairy industry on the following variables: business income, productivity,<br />
households' ability to smooth consumption, <strong>and</strong> face shocks <strong>and</strong> repayment rates. In order to<br />
analyse the trade-off involved in introducing flexible repayment schedules, the experiment<br />
compares two flexible loan products to the existing product of KAS for dairy clients. The first<br />
loan product allows clients to delay payment by 2 principal installments at any point of time<br />
157