12-14 September, 2011, Lucknow - Earth Science India
12-14 September, 2011, Lucknow - Earth Science India
12-14 September, 2011, Lucknow - Earth Science India
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National Conference on <strong>Science</strong> of Climate Change and <strong>Earth</strong>’s Sustainability: Issues and Challenges ‘A Scientist-People Partnership’<br />
<strong>12</strong>-<strong>14</strong> <strong>September</strong>, <strong>2011</strong>, <strong>Lucknow</strong><br />
The findings of this study reveal that the expansion of the Thar Desert can lead to<br />
a pronounced and large-scale impact on summer monsoon hydroclimate, with a<br />
potential to redistribute precious water over South Asia.<br />
RECENT CHANGES IN THE CIRCULATION<br />
PARAMETERS AND THEIR ASSOCIATION WITH INDIAN<br />
SUMMER MONSOON RAINFALL<br />
S.D. Bansod<br />
<strong>India</strong>n Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune<br />
The phenomena of <strong>Earth</strong>’s climate system and its associated rainfall are mainly<br />
driven by the changes in various circulation parameters embedded with the local<br />
atmospheric instability. In this context, an attempt has been made in the present study to<br />
examine the recent changes in the regional circulation parameters viz., zonal wind at<br />
200 hPa level over Tibetan Anticyclone region (TA U200 ), zonal wind at 100 hPa over<br />
peninsular <strong>India</strong> i.e. Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ U100 ), meridional wind (Somali Jet) at 850<br />
hPa over Somali Coast (SJ V850 ) and meridional wind at 850 hPa over Arabian Sea<br />
(AS V850 ) using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset during the period 1949-2008. The<br />
influences of these circulation parameters in the <strong>India</strong>n summer monsoon rainfall<br />
(ISMR) have also been brought out. The circulation parameters AS V850 and TEJ U100<br />
show decreasing tendency which in turn leads to the weakening of the moisture<br />
transport mechanism over the <strong>India</strong>n sub-continent during the monsoon season whereas<br />
the other parameters TA U200 and SJ V850 show increasing tendency. TEJ U100 shows<br />
significant decreasing trends throughout the monsoon months and season with a very<br />
strong positive relationship with monthly ISMR. The intensity of the TA U200 on monthly<br />
scale seems to have less impact than those of the other parameters on ISMR during the<br />
warming scenario though it plays a vital role in modulating the general atmospheric<br />
circulation. The most significant recent changes have also been noticed for TEJ U100 and<br />
SJ V850 throughout monsoon months.<br />
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