esearch and applicati<strong>on</strong>s projects enabled by GRACE. Theseinclude <strong>the</strong> following: 1) global m<strong>on</strong>itoring <strong>of</strong> interannualvariability <strong>of</strong> terrestrial water storage and groundwater; 2)water balance estimates <strong>of</strong> evapotranspirati<strong>on</strong> over severallarge river basins; 3) NASA’s Energy and Water Cycle Study(NEWS) state <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> global water budget project; 4) droughtindicator products now being incorporated into <strong>the</strong> U.S.Drought M<strong>on</strong>itor; 5) GRACE data assimilati<strong>on</strong> over severalregi<strong>on</strong>s.Rodriguez, ErnestoThe Measurement <strong>of</strong> Reach-Averaged Discharge by<strong>the</strong> SWOT Missi<strong>on</strong>Rodriguez, Ernesto 1 ; Neal, Jeffrey 2 ; Bates, Paul 2 ;Biancamaria, Sylvain 3 ; Mognard, Nelly 31. Jet Propulsi<strong>on</strong> Laboratory/Cal Tech, Pasadena, CA, USA2. School <strong>of</strong> Geographical Sciences, University <strong>of</strong> Bristol,Bristol, United Kingdom3. LEGOS, Toulouse, FranceThe proposed NASA/CNES Surface Water and OceanTopography (SWOT) missi<strong>on</strong> will collect globalmeasurements <strong>of</strong> elevati<strong>on</strong> and extent for all c<strong>on</strong>tinentalwater bodies, as well as floodplain topography. From <strong>the</strong>sedata, <strong>the</strong> calculati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> storage change will bestraightforward, and <strong>the</strong> prime hydrology objective for <strong>the</strong>missi<strong>on</strong>. In additi<strong>on</strong> to storage change, globally distributedestimates <strong>of</strong> discharge can c<strong>on</strong>tribute significantly to <strong>the</strong>understanding <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> water cycle and its geographicalvariability. There are two primary routes for obtainingdischarge from <strong>the</strong> SWOT measurements: 1) assimilati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong>elevati<strong>on</strong>s and water extent into a dynamic model; or, 2)estimati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> discharge using <strong>the</strong> SWOT observables andManning’s equati<strong>on</strong>, to obtain an estimate <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> dischargeat <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> observati<strong>on</strong>. The sec<strong>on</strong>d approach has <strong>the</strong>advantage that it is less c<strong>on</strong>taminated by limitati<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>the</strong>dynamic models, mostly due to <strong>the</strong> SWOT temporalsampling pattern, and we will examine it here. In <strong>the</strong> firstpart, we show how from <strong>the</strong> SWOT measurements, estimatescan be obtained for <strong>the</strong> terms in Manning’s equati<strong>on</strong>: slope,river cross-secti<strong>on</strong>, and width. We also show that stableestimates can be obtained by averaging al<strong>on</strong>g <strong>the</strong> river reach.(A part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> channel bathymetry will not be measured bySWOT directly, and its estimati<strong>on</strong> from SWOT time series isaddressed by Rodriguez and Durant in a separatepresentati<strong>on</strong> in this c<strong>on</strong>ference). We next show that, given<strong>the</strong> noise level in <strong>the</strong> SWOT measurements, a naïveapplicati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> Manning’s equati<strong>on</strong> will result in estimates <strong>of</strong>discharge that have unacceptable distributi<strong>on</strong>s, includinglarge relative biases and variances. To overcome thislimitati<strong>on</strong>, we introduce <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>cept <strong>of</strong> reach averaging <strong>the</strong>SWOT observables, and show that, after sufficient averaging(from 1 km to 10 km), Gaussian estimates with acceptablenoise can be obtained by replacing <strong>the</strong>se reach averagedquantities in Manning’s equati<strong>on</strong>. However, due to <strong>the</strong>n<strong>on</strong>linear relati<strong>on</strong> between <strong>the</strong> SWOT observables and <strong>the</strong>discharge, it will certainly be <strong>the</strong> case that using <strong>the</strong> reachaveragedSWOT observables will not result in a validestimate <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> reach averaged discharge. However, byexamining <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> averaging <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> St Venantequati<strong>on</strong>s, we show that a functi<strong>on</strong>ally identical relati<strong>on</strong>shipexists between <strong>the</strong> reach averaged discharge and <strong>the</strong> reachaveraged parameters: <strong>the</strong> <strong>on</strong>ly change that needs to be madeis an adjustment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> fricti<strong>on</strong> coefficient to account for<strong>the</strong> fluctuati<strong>on</strong>s ignored by <strong>the</strong> reach averaging. We obtainan analytic expressi<strong>on</strong> for <strong>the</strong> scaled fricti<strong>on</strong> coefficient. Thisanalytic expressi<strong>on</strong> is <strong>the</strong>n validated by comparis<strong>on</strong> against<strong>the</strong> results from numerical models for a set <strong>of</strong> different rivertypes. We c<strong>on</strong>clude that <strong>the</strong> estimati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> reach-averagedriver discharge at <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> observati<strong>on</strong> is viable using <strong>the</strong>SWOT data al<strong>on</strong>e, independent <strong>of</strong> an underlying dynamicmodel. These globally distributed estimates <strong>of</strong> instantaneousdischarge, which can be obtained every
parameter inversi<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> time invariant data from <strong>the</strong>SWOT time series. Reach averaging also significantly reduces<strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> parameters that need to be inverted. Weproceed to <strong>the</strong> parameter inversi<strong>on</strong> by studying inversi<strong>on</strong>using Maximum Likelihood Estimati<strong>on</strong> (MLE), Maximum aPosteriori (MAP) estimati<strong>on</strong>, and full Bayesian estimati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> most likely values (and <strong>the</strong>ir variances) using MarkovChain M<strong>on</strong>te Carlo (MCMC) techniques. The first twoinversi<strong>on</strong> techniques require <strong>on</strong>ly search for <strong>the</strong> maximum <strong>of</strong>a cost functi<strong>on</strong>, while <strong>the</strong> third explores <strong>the</strong> entire space <strong>of</strong>possible soluti<strong>on</strong>s but is slower. Am<strong>on</strong>g <strong>the</strong> questi<strong>on</strong>s weaddressed in this study are: how l<strong>on</strong>g a time series is requiredfor suitable parameter inversi<strong>on</strong>? How does <strong>the</strong> additi<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong>prior informati<strong>on</strong> stabilize <strong>the</strong> retrieved parameters? Howwill <strong>the</strong> inversi<strong>on</strong> work in <strong>the</strong> presence <strong>of</strong> significantunknown lateral discharges? The work presented hereextends <strong>the</strong> work <strong>of</strong> Durand et al. (2010, JSTARS) to a widerset <strong>of</strong> c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s, including n<strong>on</strong>-rectangular channels andlateral inputs, and to <strong>the</strong> joint retrieval <strong>of</strong> both bathymetryand fricti<strong>on</strong> coefficient. It is <strong>the</strong> first step towards defining<strong>the</strong> discharge algorithm that will be implemented by <strong>the</strong>proposed SWOT missi<strong>on</strong>.Romaguera, MireiaComparis<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> remote sensing ET estimates andmodel simulati<strong>on</strong>s for retrieving irrigati<strong>on</strong>Romaguera, Mireia 1, 2 ; Krol, Maarten S. 2 ; Salama, Mhd. S. 1 ;Hoekstra, Arjen Y. 2 ; Su, Zh<strong>on</strong>gbo 11. Faculty <strong>of</strong> Geo-Informati<strong>on</strong> Science and EarthObservati<strong>on</strong>, Department <strong>of</strong> Water Resources, University<strong>of</strong> Twente, Enschede, Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands2. Faculty <strong>of</strong> Engineering Technology, Department <strong>of</strong> WaterEngineering and Management, University <strong>of</strong> Twente,Enschede, Ne<strong>the</strong>rlandsThe analysis <strong>of</strong> evapotranspirati<strong>on</strong> (ET) plays animportant role to assess <strong>the</strong> usage <strong>of</strong> water resources andirrigati<strong>on</strong> practices. In this paper, we propose an innovativemethod based <strong>on</strong> ET for identifying irrigated areas andquantifying <strong>the</strong> blue evapotranspirati<strong>on</strong> (ETb), i.e.evapotranspirati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> irrigati<strong>on</strong> water from <strong>the</strong> field. DailyET estimates from <strong>the</strong> Meteosat Sec<strong>on</strong>d Generati<strong>on</strong> (MSG)satellites were compared with ET values from <strong>the</strong> GlobalLand Data Assimilati<strong>on</strong> System (GLDAS) with <strong>the</strong> Noahmodel. Since <strong>the</strong> latter do not account for extra water supplydue to irrigati<strong>on</strong>, it is expected that <strong>the</strong>y underestimate ETduring <strong>the</strong> cropping seas<strong>on</strong> in irrigated areas. The biasbetween model simulati<strong>on</strong>s and remote sensing observati<strong>on</strong>swas estimated using reference targets <strong>of</strong> rainfed croplands <strong>on</strong>a yearly basis. The study regi<strong>on</strong> (Europe and Africa) wasclassified based <strong>on</strong> vegetati<strong>on</strong> cover (using <strong>the</strong> NormalizedDifference Vegetati<strong>on</strong> Index as a proxy) and MSG viewingangles to define <strong>the</strong> reference biases. ETb was obtained forcroplands in Europe and Africa for <strong>the</strong> year 2010. Theanalysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> daily and yearly ETb values showed that ourmethod identified irrigati<strong>on</strong> when yearly values were higherthan 50mm. The ETb results were compared with existingliterature and with in situ point irrigati<strong>on</strong> values.Rosen, Paul A.DESDynI-R Missi<strong>on</strong> C<strong>on</strong>cept Overview andPossible Uses for Hydrological Sciences andApplicati<strong>on</strong>sRosen, Paul A. 1 ; Nghiem, S<strong>on</strong> V. 11. Radar Science & Engineering, Jet Propulsi<strong>on</strong> Laboratory,Pasadena, CA, USAEarth’s land surface is c<strong>on</strong>stantly changing andinteracting with its interior and atmosphere. In resp<strong>on</strong>se tointerior forces, plate tect<strong>on</strong>ics deform <strong>the</strong> surface, causingearthquakes, volcanoes, mountain building, and erosi<strong>on</strong>,including landslides. Human and natural forces are rapidlymodifying terrestrial ecosystems, causing am<strong>on</strong>g o<strong>the</strong>rthings reducti<strong>on</strong>s in species diversity and endangeringsustainability. Similarly ice sheets, sea ice, and glaciers areundergoing dramatic changes. Increasing rates <strong>of</strong> land icemelt is <strong>the</strong> primary c<strong>on</strong>tributor to eustatic sea level rise.DESDynI was a missi<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>cept recommended by <strong>the</strong>Nati<strong>on</strong>al Academy <strong>of</strong> Sciences in 2007 [1] to address <strong>the</strong>sechanges. NASA c<strong>on</strong>tinues to study affordable ways toimplement <strong>the</strong> missi<strong>on</strong>, while preserving as much <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ability to observe <strong>the</strong>se changes over <strong>the</strong> life <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> missi<strong>on</strong>as possible. The proposed primary missi<strong>on</strong> objectives forDESDynI would be to: 1) Determine <strong>the</strong> likelihood <strong>of</strong>earthquakes, volcanic erupti<strong>on</strong>s, and landslides throughdeformati<strong>on</strong> m<strong>on</strong>itoring; 2) Characterize <strong>the</strong> globaldistributi<strong>on</strong> and changes <strong>of</strong> vegetati<strong>on</strong> abovegroundbiomass and ecosystem structure related to <strong>the</strong> globalcarb<strong>on</strong> cycle, climate and biodiversity; and 3) Predict <strong>the</strong>resp<strong>on</strong>se <strong>of</strong> ice masses to climate change and impact <strong>on</strong> sealevel. DESDynI would attempt, in an affordable manner, tosystematically and globally study <strong>the</strong> solid Earth, <strong>the</strong> icemasses, and ecosystems, all <strong>of</strong> which are too sparselysampled to address many important global scale problems ingeohazards, carb<strong>on</strong> and climate. In additi<strong>on</strong> to <strong>the</strong>seprimary science goals, DESDynI would provide observati<strong>on</strong>sthat would greatly improve our m<strong>on</strong>itoring <strong>of</strong> groundwater,hydrocarb<strong>on</strong>, and sequestered CO2 reservoirs, as well aswatersheds and coastal regi<strong>on</strong>s with frequent fine-resoluti<strong>on</strong>polarimetric radar imaging. These data would supporthydrological sciences as well as potentially serving a role in<strong>the</strong> nati<strong>on</strong>’s systematic m<strong>on</strong>itoring <strong>of</strong> areas that are hazardpr<strong>on</strong>e due to water related issues. This paper describes <strong>the</strong>current status <strong>of</strong> DESDynI missi<strong>on</strong> studies, particularlyfrom <strong>the</strong> point <strong>of</strong> view <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> expected opti<strong>on</strong>s for sciencereturn depending <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> scoped capabilities proposed for<strong>the</strong> missi<strong>on</strong>. Possible applicati<strong>on</strong>s to hydrology wouldinclude, for example, m<strong>on</strong>itoring <strong>of</strong> deformati<strong>on</strong> due toextracti<strong>on</strong> or injecti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> ground water in urban andsuburban aquifers, high-resoluti<strong>on</strong> measurement <strong>of</strong> soilmoisture to complement projected SMAP observati<strong>on</strong>s,detecti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> surface water change due to liquefacti<strong>on</strong>, lakeand reservoir m<strong>on</strong>itoring (including those in cold landregi<strong>on</strong>s), river freeze-up and break-up tracking, wetland andflood inundati<strong>on</strong> mapping, global drought m<strong>on</strong>itoring, andmapping <strong>of</strong> dams and levees and <strong>the</strong>ir changes over time.With <strong>the</strong> capability <strong>of</strong> weekly global coverage regardless <strong>of</strong>127
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Alfieri, Joseph G.The Factors Influ
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further verified that even for conv
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mission and will address the follow
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match the two sets of estimates. Th
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producing CGF snow cover products.
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performance of the AWRA-L model for
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