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2012 AGU Chapman Conference on Remote Sensing of the ...

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esoluti<strong>on</strong> lidar-derived DEM was compared to <strong>the</strong> NED 10m resoluti<strong>on</strong> DEM, <strong>the</strong> streams delineated with <strong>the</strong> 10 mlidar data were significantly better than those modeled with<strong>the</strong> 10 m NED data, showing that significant improvementin accuracy can be achieved with no increase in data storage.When topographic index was modeled with multipleresoluti<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong> lidar-derived DEMs, <strong>the</strong> spatial and statisticaldistributi<strong>on</strong>s were both very different, with finer resoluti<strong>on</strong>DEMs not accurately modeling areas <strong>of</strong> high TI.Additi<strong>on</strong>ally, depending <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> flow accumulati<strong>on</strong>algorithm used, <strong>the</strong>re were differences in <strong>the</strong> change instatistical resoluti<strong>on</strong> with resp<strong>on</strong>se to initial DEMresoluti<strong>on</strong>.Brutsaert, WilfriedSome Indirect Estimates <strong>of</strong> Changes in HydrologicC<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s During <strong>the</strong> Past Century INVITEDBrutsaert, Wilfried 11. Civil & Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Eng, Cornell Univ, Ithaca, NY,USAThe water budget <strong>of</strong> a natural river basin can beformulated as P - Q - E = dS/dt, where P is <strong>the</strong> precipitati<strong>on</strong>rate, Q <strong>the</strong> net surface outflow rate per unit area, E <strong>the</strong>evaporati<strong>on</strong> rate and S <strong>the</strong> water stored per unit area in <strong>the</strong>basin. The variables P and Q can be and have been measureddirectly and many l<strong>on</strong>g-term data sets are available for basinsall over <strong>the</strong> world, with which <strong>the</strong>ir evoluti<strong>on</strong> over time canbe studied in great detail. The c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> reliable l<strong>on</strong>gterm data sets for E and S for climate change purposes ismore challenging; indeed, <strong>the</strong> direct and routinemeasurement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se variables is still very difficult, so thatin practice to gain informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> past trends <strong>the</strong>y mustinvariably be estimated by indirect methods. In <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> E,attempts have been made to estimate past trends <strong>of</strong>landscape evaporati<strong>on</strong> from available pan evaporati<strong>on</strong>records. Because pan and landscape evaporati<strong>on</strong> areintrinsically different especially under drying c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s,<strong>the</strong>re is still no unanimity regarding <strong>the</strong> interpretati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>se studies. In <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> S, it is generally agreed thatterrestrial storage in a basin is related to <strong>the</strong> baseflows or drywea<strong>the</strong>r river flows from <strong>the</strong> basin; this has allowed todocument <strong>the</strong> evoluti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> groundwater storage in manylarge basins under widely different climate c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s fromavailable streamflow records. While <strong>the</strong>se approaches toestimate E and S involve obvious challenges, <strong>the</strong>y can beovercome.Castro, Lina M.Assessment <strong>of</strong> TRMM Multi-satellite Precipitati<strong>on</strong>Analysis (TMPA) in <strong>the</strong> South <strong>of</strong> Chile’s AndesMountainsCastro, Lina M. 1 ; Miranda, Marcelo 2 ; Fernandez, B<strong>on</strong>ifacio 11. Department <strong>of</strong> Hydraulic and Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalEngineering, P<strong>on</strong>tificia Universidad Catolica de Chile,Santiago de Chile, Chile2. Department <strong>of</strong> Forest Science, P<strong>on</strong>tificia UniversidadCatólica de Chile, Santiago De Chile, ChilePrecipitati<strong>on</strong> is <strong>the</strong> most crucial variable in applicati<strong>on</strong><strong>of</strong> hydrological models because it provides most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>moisture input for hydrologic processes over land.Hydrological models require accurate rainfall data at <strong>the</strong>highest possible resoluti<strong>on</strong> for streamflow predicti<strong>on</strong>s.Never<strong>the</strong>less, due to <strong>the</strong> high variability in space and time <strong>of</strong>precipitati<strong>on</strong> it is necessary to have a dense rain gaugesnetwork to achieve high accuracy. The gauge network inChile is sparse or n<strong>on</strong>existent, especially in <strong>the</strong> AndesMountains where <strong>the</strong> most Chilean rivers are born.Although <strong>the</strong> rain gauges have <strong>the</strong> advantage <strong>of</strong> a hightemporal resoluti<strong>on</strong>, <strong>the</strong> scarcity and difficulty <strong>of</strong> getting <strong>the</strong>data in real time limit <strong>the</strong>ir applicati<strong>on</strong> into hydrologicalmodels for simulati<strong>on</strong> and forecasting in real time. This gapcan be solved using data from space-borne sensors. In recentyears, several satellite-based, near global, high-resoluti<strong>on</strong>precipitati<strong>on</strong> estimates have become available withincreasing temporal and spatial resoluti<strong>on</strong>. Rainfallestimates from space-borne sensors <strong>of</strong>fer a valuable source <strong>of</strong>informati<strong>on</strong> for capturing <strong>the</strong> rainfall and for understanding<strong>of</strong> terrestrial rainfall behavior over some regi<strong>on</strong>s that areungauged like some parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Andes Mountains. Thepresent work aims to assess <strong>the</strong> rainfall estimati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong>Tropical Rainfall Measurement Missi<strong>on</strong> (TRMM) MultisatellitePrecipitati<strong>on</strong> Analysis (TMPA) in a regi<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong>South <strong>of</strong> Chile over <strong>the</strong> Andes Mountains. The assessmentbetween TMPA product and gauge measurements was madeusing statistical error (Bias, Root Mean Square Error, andCorrelati<strong>on</strong> Coefficient) and detecti<strong>on</strong> measurements (FalseAlarm Ratio - FAR and Frequency Bias Index - FBI). TheTMPA product represents 50% <strong>of</strong> total rainfall in almost allground truth stati<strong>on</strong>s, with <strong>the</strong> highest bias values in winterseas<strong>on</strong>. When <strong>the</strong> TMPA estimates show high FAR and FBIvalues, it means that satellite has overestimated <strong>the</strong> number<strong>of</strong> rain events with highest FAR and FBI values in <strong>the</strong> dryseas<strong>on</strong>. Bias, RMSE, FAR and FBI show a spatial patternwhich increases with elevati<strong>on</strong> because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> orographiceffect in <strong>the</strong> rainfall distributi<strong>on</strong> and intermittentoccurrence. The temporal aggregati<strong>on</strong> improves Bias, RMSEand Coefficient <strong>of</strong> Correlati<strong>on</strong> values. For a m<strong>on</strong>thly timescale <strong>the</strong> coefficient <strong>of</strong> correlati<strong>on</strong> and bias reach values 0.95and 28% respectively. Improvements <strong>on</strong> a m<strong>on</strong>thly scale mayarise from <strong>the</strong> TMPA processing algorithm which usesm<strong>on</strong>thly histograms to calibrate <strong>the</strong> satellite data. TMPAproducts like o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>on</strong>es (STAR or CMORH) have coarsespatial resoluti<strong>on</strong> (between 4km – 27 km) and represent asnapshot at a given time. The spatial and temporal44

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