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General information about the moduleThis module of developing alternative scenarios for the RI and its development is grounded on (i) the initial success scenario hypothesis drafted in theSystem Dynamics Module, (ii) the impact estimation against that scenario carried out under the impact assessment modules S&T, Eco, Jobs and Life,and (iii) the assessment of the associated risks (Risk Module). The main objective here is to outline, through a Scenario Workshop, a set of alternativescenarios for plausible future developments that explore major possible deviations from the success scenario hypothesis. Alternative scenarios are builtto illuminate possible development driven by a set of drivers with high impact and yet high uncertainty that are critical for the RI and its hosting environmentand could be disruptive in a positive or negative way to the “RI-region” system evolution.The success scenario is developed in the System Dynamics Module by exploring present trends and drivers and it outlines a vision of the future at thetime horizon set. Its development follows the so called exploratory approach where the process of scenarios development starts from the present momentand makes projections towards the future time horizon.The normative approach for scenario development is the approach where the outline of a desirable vision of the future at the time horizon set is madeprior to devising actions for designing the present to reach the desired future.In this module, where drivers with high uncertainty are taken into account, along with possible external factors of disruptive and unexpected nature, itis appropriate to use the normative approach for assessing alternative scenarios and anticipating the RI system’s deviation from its evolutionary futurevision. Guidelines to this approach are given below.296