12.07.2015 Views

Download PDF version - FenRIAM

Download PDF version - FenRIAM

Download PDF version - FenRIAM

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Preparatory workPrior to the Alternative Scenarios Workshop, the case study team has to do the following preparatory work:Update drivers of the RI-region systemDrivers are forces that influence the development of the analysed system and allow change to occur. They have continuous character and can “drive”the system in different directions. Drivers can be identified as underlying forces in existing and emerging economic, political, S&T, social, demographicand environmental trends.The case study team prepares, as input to the Workshop, the list of drivers to be used for the set of alternative scenarios (see Fig. 1). The list of driversis a combination of the drivers already identified in the System Dynamics Module and the drivers behind the socio-economic (S-E) impacts estimatedand categorised in the Modules S&T, Eco, Jobs and Life. The case study team is free to modify or reformulate some drivers if the results from the impactmodules have uncovered new forces stemming from the S-E impacts generated by the RI, or new information and perspectives need to be taken intoaccount not considered in the initial success scenario. In sum-up, the information from these modules needs to be screened for compiling a more comprehensivelist of drivers.Figure 12: Identification of drivers for alternative scenarios297

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!