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Basic Research Needs for Geosciences - Energetics Meetings and ...

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APPENDIX 1: TECHNICAL PERSPECTIVES RESOURCE DOCUMENTdegrees. Even small volumes (~1%) of these co-contaminant gases have the potential to alter thechemical response of a gas-brine-rock system (e.g., Knauss et al. 2005a). Underst<strong>and</strong>ing purityrequirements will save capital <strong>and</strong> operating expenses. A focused study of laboratory reactivechemistry <strong>and</strong> numerical simulations is needed to provide insight into how these gases mightaffect storage effectiveness <strong>and</strong> additional types of site characterization.M&V design <strong>and</strong> integrationGiven the natural variation in storage site geology <strong>and</strong> the uncertain regulatory requirements apriori today, it is difficult to predict the requirements <strong>for</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard monitoring <strong>and</strong> verificationsystems. Many geophysical <strong>and</strong> geochemical methods are sufficiently well understood <strong>for</strong> themto be used to make reasonable per<strong>for</strong>mance predictions at c<strong>and</strong>idate storage sites (e.g., Benson etal. 2004). Testing which of these approaches will be the most valuable <strong>for</strong> a given geologicalenvironment remains to be determined. It will require that multiple approaches to testing becompared robustly in terms of per<strong>for</strong>mance <strong>and</strong> cost, <strong>and</strong> validated in the field.Multivariate hydrogeologic <strong>and</strong> geophysical integration <strong>and</strong> inversion provides one approach tothis problem. Un<strong>for</strong>tunately, there are very few examples from industry or CO 2 storageexperiments where multiple data sets have been integrated robustly. Often these techniquesinvolve geostatistical characterization (e.g., Goovaerts 1997; Pawar et al. 2003) that can requirelarge data volumes <strong>and</strong> produce mixed results. Multivariate inversion is a more difficult problem,with very few successful demonstrations (e.g., Hoversten et al. 2003; Ramirez et al. 2006).Ultimately, addressing this technical need will require that many comparable data sets arecollected simultaneously <strong>and</strong> inverted in a common plat<strong>for</strong>m or framework.Risk assessment methodology <strong>and</strong> quantitative basisSeveral frameworks have been proposed <strong>for</strong> geological carbon sequestration risk assessment(e.g., Stenhouse et al. 2006; Saripalli et al. 2003). The most comprehensive published riskassessment work to date comes from Weyburn (Wilson <strong>and</strong> Monea 2004), which used acombination of long-term simulation with analysis of features, events <strong>and</strong> processes. A5000 year interval was selected, <strong>and</strong> the risk metric was CO 2 returned to the biosphere over thattime interval. This choice of risk end state <strong>and</strong> metric was ultimately not technically based.While simulations <strong>and</strong> studies generally show that risk should decrease post injection (Figure 6),there is little quantification of what the magnitude, rate, or trajectory of risk reduction is.Ultimately, such a characterization will evolve from probabilistic risk assessments methodology<strong>and</strong> a larger empirical data base. Until then, a scientific basis is needed to choose risk end states,select metrics <strong>for</strong> risk assessment, <strong>and</strong> develop methodologies that can be regularly applied toconventional data sets.Wellbore integrityThe many wells penetrating oil reservoirs represent a risk of both gradual <strong>and</strong> catastrophicleakage of CO 2 to the atmosphere (e.g., Gasda et al. 2004; Celia et al. 2006). For reservoirs olderthan 30 or 40 years, locations of old capped wells are a major concern. Incorrectly constructed orab<strong>and</strong>oned wells increase potential <strong>for</strong> substantial CO 2 leakage due to elevated likelihood of poorcement, advanced corrosion, or ineffective plugging (Ide et al. 2006). Groundwater can also beaffected by CO 2 leaking from its storage site into shallower aquifers without any surface<strong>Basic</strong> <strong>Research</strong> <strong>Needs</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geosciences</strong>: Facilitating 21 st Century Energy Systems Appendix 1 • 19

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