Untitled - The Future Ocean

Pickrill RA, Todd BJ (2003) The multiple roles of acoustic mapping in integrated oceanmanagement, Canadian Atlantic continental margin. Ocean & Coastal Management 46,601-614.Rabbel W (2006) Seismic methods for hydro-geological applications. In: R Kirsch (ed.),Hydrogeophysics, Springer, Berlin, 23-84.Schwarzer K, Diesing M, Larson M, Niedermeyer R-O, Schumacher W, Furmanczyk K (2003)Coastline evolution at different time scales. - Examples from the southern Baltic Sea(Pomeranian Bight). Marine Geology 194, 79 - 101.Syvitski JPM, Vörösmarti CJ, Kettner AJ, Green P (2005) Impact of humans on the flux ofterrestrial sediment to the global coastal ocean. Science 308, 376-380.B5(2): From Coastal Hazards and Vulnerability to Risk Management2. State-of-the-artSince the IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) first predictions of climate changeand accelerated SLR, a number of studies have addressed the issue of hazards to low-lyingcoastal areas. Several methods for the quantitative assessment of coastal vulnerability have beenproposed (e.g. Boruff et al. 2005, Klein and Nicholls 1999). These methods primarily analyze theeffects of gradual coastal-system changes, such as slow inundation, erosion or saltwater influenceon groundwater and soils. More recently, coastal risk research has focused on eithermacroeconomic assessment models on a global scale (Vafeidis et al. 2004) or on specific regional(microscale) aspects of the economic drawbacks arising from SLR (Darwin and Tol 2001). In 2004and 2005, devastating flood events revealed that vulnerability assessments which rely solely onmorphologic or economic methods are not adequate to support the complex process of coastal riskmitigation. Hence, a comprehensive approach for risk modeling which also incorporates social andecological components is needed. The first attempts to derive integrated decision-making supporttools for flood risk assessment and management are underway (Onate and Piazzese 2005), butthey need to be further expanded to include multihazard situations as well as various types ofcoastal environments and regions.3. Previous and on-going work of the proponentsH. Sterr has been a member of the Coastal Zone Management Subgroup of the IPCC and areviewing author of the IPCC Second Assessment Report. He has directed several researchprojects on coastal hazards related to climate change which have focused on: (a) the developmentof risk assessment methods on various spatial scales (Sterr et al. 2003); (b) scenario-basedmodeling of vulnerability via GIS (Sylt Island, State of Para, Brazil), and (c) risk management in theNorth Sea region and Europe (COMRISK, FLOODSITE, EU). U. Schmidt from the Department ofEconomics of the University of Kiel has conducted several research projects in the area of riskperception, risk evaluation and risk management (Schmidt and Zank 2005). W. Dombrowsky fromthe Disaster Research Unit at the University of Kiel has conducted several projects on disaster andflood management (Dombrowsky and Ohlendieck 1998). R. Horn is a renowned specialist on soil84