Untitled - The Future Ocean

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mechanics, also with respect to dike stability, while J. Müller and U. Müller have addressed issuesof prehistoric and ancient disasters in coastal environments.4. ObjectivesIn 2005, the UN World Conference on Disaster Reduction called upon both natural and socialscientists all over the world to assist in the development and implementation of early warninginstruments and risk management tools. The proponents of B5(2) suggest, therefore, that a JRGshould adopt this challenge and address the full range of vulnerability issues in coastal zones bybuilding on the wide range of experiences in geographic, economic and social risk research in Kiel.With respect to future trends in the oceans (A2, A3, A4, A5, A7, B1, B4, B6 and, above all, B5(1)),these increasingly overlapping and interacting hazards call for innovative instruments forcomprehensive vulnerability assessments and integrated risk management. The objective of B5(2)can be reached by following a step-wise approach: (1) identification of the most crucial geographicrisk parameters for selected hazards by utilizing high-resolution remote sensing techniques; (2)integration of results into existing GIS-based models (e.g. flood inundation models, erosionmodels); (3) quantitative assessments of potential economic damages within the risk zone,covering both direct and indirect, tangible and intangible (e.g. ecological) values; subsequentincorporation into value-at-risk and related microeconomic models; (4) analysis of risk perceptionand awareness factors in societies with and without previous risk experiences; (5) utilization ofeconomic cost-benefit quantifications of risk mitigation strategies in order to develop a compositerisk valuation model; (6) adaptation of scenario-based techniques for fuzzy-set modeling ofdecision-making processes under uncertainty (Agent-Based Model, e.g. ABM, from the PotsdamInstitute for Climate Impact Research). The final product (model) may serve as a basic decisionsupporttool of the type recently requested by Munich Re and other insurance companies.With its focus on densely populated river mouths, B5(2) will have direct links to B5(1), where SLRrelatedchanges along the crucial interfaces will be detected, and to B4 for an analysis of tsunamipronelow-lying coastal regions (e.g. in Southeast Asia). For steps 5 and 6 the proponents andJRG will closely cooperate with Platform 1. The research of groups A4 (climate change), A7(economic valuing), and B6 (legal constraints) will also be of relevance to B5(2).5. ReferencesBoruff B, Emrich C, Cutter S (2005) Erosion Hazard Vulnerability of US Coastal Counties. Journalof Coastal Research 21, 932-942.Darwin RF, Tol RSJ (2001) Estimates of the Economic Effects of Sea Level Rise. Environmentaland Resource Economics 19 (2), 113-129.Dombrowsky WR, Ohlendieck L (1998) Flood management in Germany. In: Rosenthal UT, Hart P(Eds.): Flood Response and Crisis Management in Western Europe. A Comparative Analysis.Berlin, Heidelberg, New York, 153-187.Klein RJT, Nicholls RJ (1999) Assessing of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change. Ambio 28,182-187.85
Onate E, Piazzese J (2005) Decision Support System for Risk Assessment and Management ofFloods. Source: http://www.eu-lat.org/eenviron/Onate.pdfSchmidt U, Zank H (2005) What is Loss Aversion? Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 30, 157-167.Sterr H, Klein RJT, Reese S (2003) Climate Change and Coastal Zones: An Overview on thestate-of-the-art of Regional and Local Vulnerability Assessments. In: Giupponi C, Shechter M(Eds.) Climate Change in the Mediterranean. Cheltenham. 245 - 278.Vafeidis AT, Nicholls RJ, McFadden L, Hinkel J, Grashoff PS (2004) Developing a GlobalDatabase for Coastal Vulnerability Analysis: Design Issues and Challenges. In: Altan, MO(Ed.) The International Archives of Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial InformationSciences 35 (B), 801-805.86
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Contents1 General Information about
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1 General Information about the Clu
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1.2 Research Program1.2.1 Summary/Z
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1.2.2.2 ObjectivesThe Future Ocean
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will address the emerging new resea
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Topics Objectives DisciplinesA1 Exa
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development of these new initiative
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Project Objective IndustryPartnersO
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Continued excellence in the field o
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The establishment of several new po
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1.4.1 Integrated School of Ocean Sc
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ensure that emerging innovations wi
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Institute / DisciplineAcademic Leve
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their orientation according to the
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1.7.2 Structural Evolution and Qual
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30- Notes -
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organisms to elevated CO 2 and decr
Page 41 and 42: ist wahrscheinlich stärker als wä
Page 43 and 44: out by the proponents and will esta
Page 45 and 46: Rückkopplungsschleife weitere Erw
Page 47 and 48: enthic biota of gas release or the
Page 49 and 50: Synthese, aufbauend auf einer Kombi
Page 51 and 52: (4) a determination of the impact o
Page 53 and 54: Einflüsse. Um deren Auswirkungen b
Page 55 and 56: on longer time scales. The latter t
Page 57 and 58: werden kann. Allerdings sind die ch
Page 59 and 60: the expertise which already exists
Page 61 and 62: 2. State-of-the-artThe changing com
Page 63 and 64: • Field and laboratory investigat
Page 65 and 66: Erwärmung der Ozeane kann zur Frei
Page 67 and 68: Valuing the Ocean: Research focus a
Page 69 and 70: submarine earthquakes, slumps and s
Page 71 and 72: Fischerei ist eine der wichtigsten
Page 73 and 74: ecosystems. In particular, the foll
Page 75 and 76: Hochdurchsatztechnologien die Evolu
Page 77 and 78: microbial diversity on their barrie
Page 79 and 80: transient three-dimensional fluid f
Page 81 and 82: modeling, which describe chemical a
Page 83 and 84: Erdbeben, submarine Hangrutschungen
Page 85 and 86: Simons 2003) to investigate shallow
Page 87 and 88: damit zusammenhängender Meeresspie
Page 89 and 90: B5(1) Sea-Level Rise and Physical-M
Page 91: Pickrill RA, Todd BJ (2003) The mul
Page 95 and 96: echtlichen und ökonomischen Rahmen
Page 97 and 98: marine resources, such as energy ex
Page 99 and 100: 92- Notes -
Page 101 and 102: 2. State-of-the-artThe variety of n
Page 103 and 104: and will benefit from expertise in
Page 105 and 106: Die Plattform 2 stellt die analytis
Page 107 and 108: 4. New Cluster TechnologiesIn order
Page 109 and 110: (iv) Proteomanalysetechniken und (v
Page 111 and 112: 4. New Cluster TechnologiesA specia
Page 113 and 114: Illustration of existing/emerging a
Page 115 and 116: physical parameters (e.g. lowered a
Page 117 and 118: etabliert, das insbesondere auf wis
Page 119 and 120: 2.4.3.2 Central Funds for Transfer
Page 121 and 122: International School of Ocean Scien
Page 123 and 124: Description Year of purchase Amount
Page 125 and 126: 3.2 Auxiliary Support3.2.1 Total Fu
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Page 129 and 130: Suess E, Torres ME, Bohrmann G, Col
Page 131 and 132: Schreiber, StefanVisbeck, MartinSri
Page 133 and 134: 4.3 Third-Party FundingNo. FundingB
Page 135 and 136: Leibniz Institute of Marine Science
Page 137 and 138: These JRG’s will augment the expe
Page 139 and 140: The Cluster is embedded in the “K
Page 141 and 142: A14- Notes -
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4.6 Curricula Vitae and Lists of Pu
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Curriculum of ResearchPersonal Data
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A82- Notes -
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DEKLIMGerman Climate Research Progr
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ITQ’sISAISOSJRGKCMSKitzLALIFLIMSL
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WTOWTSHXAFSXRDZMBWorld Trade Organi
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Prof. Dr. Boris Culik • Maritimes
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GMT-Geschäf*sstelleWe"*w{eltJ"*n $
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f,rylheonRaytheon Anschütz GmbHPos
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