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Principles of terrestrial ecosystem ecology.pdf

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324 14. Landscape Heterogeneity and Ecosystem Dynamics<br />

Soil C (kg m -2 )<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

Conversion to agriculture<br />

from native vegetation<br />

Historical management<br />

53% <strong>of</strong> 1907<br />

Conventional<br />

tillage<br />

Reduced<br />

tillage<br />

61% <strong>of</strong> 1907<br />

3<br />

1900 1920 1940<br />

Year<br />

1960 1980<br />

Figure 14.11. Simulation <strong>of</strong> loss <strong>of</strong> SOM after conversion<br />

<strong>of</strong> grassland to agriculture, followed by a<br />

small increase with conversion to low-till agriculture.<br />

Losses <strong>of</strong> soil carbon reduce the productive potential<br />

<strong>of</strong> the soil and transfer carbon in the form <strong>of</strong> CO 2<br />

from the soil to the atmosphere. New techniques <strong>of</strong><br />

low-till and no-till agriculture can reduce the magnitude<br />

<strong>of</strong> soil carbon loss or, under some circumstances,<br />

lead to a small net carbon accumulation.<br />

(Redrawn with permission from Science, Vol. 277 ©<br />

1997 American Association for the Advancement <strong>of</strong><br />

Science; Matson et al. 1997.)<br />

cultural systems (Fig. 14.11). These soil carbon<br />

losses <strong>of</strong>ten occur within 20 years in temperate<br />

<strong>ecosystem</strong>s or within 5 years in tropical systems,<br />

depending on soil temperature and moisture.<br />

The large regular inputs <strong>of</strong> nutrients required<br />

to sustain intensive agriculture (see Fig. 8.1)<br />

increases the emissions <strong>of</strong> nitrogen trace gases<br />

that play a significant role in the global nitrogen<br />

cycle and link these <strong>ecosystem</strong>s with downwind<br />

<strong>ecosystem</strong>s (see Chapters 9 and 15).<br />

Nutrient loading on land increases nonpoint<br />

sources <strong>of</strong> pollution for neighboring aquatic<br />

<strong>ecosystem</strong>s (Carpenter et al. 1998). Phosphorus<br />

additions on land have particular large effects<br />

for at least two reasons. First, primary production<br />

<strong>of</strong> most lakes is phosphorus limited and<br />

therefore responds sensitively to even small<br />

phosphorus additions. Second, much <strong>of</strong> the<br />

phosphorus added to agricultural fields is<br />

chemically fixed, so orders <strong>of</strong> magnitude more<br />

phosphorus are generally added to fields than<br />

is absorbed by crops. These large additions rep-<br />

resent a massive reservoir <strong>of</strong> phosphorus that<br />

will continue to enter aquatic <strong>ecosystem</strong>s long<br />

after farmers stop adding fertilizer. Phosphorus<br />

inputs from human and livestock sewage have<br />

similarly long-lasting effects.<br />

Intensive agriculture for rice production in<br />

flooded <strong>ecosystem</strong>s produces a different type <strong>of</strong><br />

biogeochemical hot spot. Rice feeds half <strong>of</strong> the<br />

world’s population, with 90% <strong>of</strong> the production<br />

occurring in Asia. The most intensive rice cultivation<br />

takes place in periodically flooded fields,<br />

where reduced oxygen supply and decomposition<br />

lead to greater accumulation <strong>of</strong> SOM than<br />

in upland agricultural systems. Flooding creates<br />

an ideal environment for methanogens, which<br />

produce methane during decomposition <strong>of</strong><br />

organic matter under anaerobic conditions<br />

(see Chapter 7). Paddy agricultural systems are<br />

therefore important sources <strong>of</strong> atmospheric<br />

methane and now produce about half as much<br />

methane as all natural wetlands. Together with<br />

cattle production, rice cultivation accounts for<br />

much <strong>of</strong> the increase in atmospheric methane<br />

(see Chapter 15).<br />

Land use change caused greater ecological<br />

impact during the twentieth century than any<br />

other global change. Understanding and projecting<br />

future changes in land use are therefore<br />

critical to predicting and managing future<br />

changes in the Earth System. Development <strong>of</strong><br />

plausible scenarios for the future requires close<br />

collaboration among climatologists, ecologists,<br />

agronomists, and social scientists. Optimistic<br />

scenarios that assume that the growing human<br />

population will be fed rather than die from<br />

famines, wars, or disease epidemics project continued<br />

large changes in land use, particularly<br />

in developing countries (Alcamo 1994). What<br />

actually occurs in the future is, <strong>of</strong> course, uncertain,<br />

but these and other scenarios suggest that<br />

land use change will continue to be the major<br />

cause <strong>of</strong> global environmental change in the<br />

coming decades. Ecologists working together<br />

with policy makers, planners, and managers<br />

have the opportunity to develop approaches<br />

that will minimize the impact <strong>of</strong> future landscape<br />

changes (see Chapter 16). This vision<br />

must recognize the large effects <strong>of</strong> land use<br />

change on landscape processes and their consequences<br />

on local to global scales.

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