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Mathur Ritika Passi

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Do young people have the skills necessary<br />

to be productive members of the labour<br />

force? 16 million workers enter the<br />

workforce annually. Currently, only 10%<br />

of the workforce receives some kind of<br />

skilling against a national target of 25%.<br />

By 2022, over a 100 million will enter<br />

the labour force and need skilling. On the<br />

demand side, industry across 24 sectors<br />

will need 110 million people by 2022. If<br />

the incoming labour force is completely<br />

skilled, it will match the projected demand<br />

from industry. Currently, there are<br />

approximately 300 million people in the<br />

workforce in the 15-45 age group across<br />

the farm and non-farm sectors that are<br />

unskilled or semi-skilled against available<br />

skilling capacity of four million. 10<br />

The scorecard for India across these<br />

various targets show that India has<br />

progressed on enrolment rates but<br />

not fast enough on other parameters<br />

nationwide—and has actually regressed<br />

on learning outcomes in some years. The<br />

national numbers also mask significant<br />

variations across states, especially in<br />

learning. The northern and central Hindispeaking<br />

belt fares the worst (Rajasthan,<br />

Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkand, Madhya<br />

Pradesh), followed closely by eastern states<br />

(Chattisgarh, West Bengal, Orissa). The<br />

southern states of Kerala and Tamil Nadu<br />

fare the best.<br />

Can India achieve the SDG on education?<br />

From the data above, at the current rates<br />

of progress, the answer is no. Based on<br />

past trends, a third of students who enrol<br />

in grade I will still not reach grade X.<br />

Learning outcomes and adult literacy<br />

rates are stagnating, and nearly 40 years<br />

of ICDS programming has not been able<br />

to significantly dent national malnutrition<br />

rates or improve early childhood learning.<br />

India currently has neither the capacity to<br />

train all its entrants to the labour force, nor<br />

the jobs to hire all of them if it did. The<br />

targets that are most at risk are 4.1, 4.2<br />

and 4.6—those that focus on universalising<br />

primary, secondary access and learning,<br />

quality pre-primary that makes children<br />

ready to learn and adult literacy. Some<br />

states may succeed on some targets, but<br />

for India to achieve all targets within a<br />

fifteen-year time frame requires urgent and<br />

fundamental shifts in government policy<br />

and action.<br />

Moving Forward: A Decade-Long<br />

Mission for Education<br />

Few countries have shown the ability to<br />

simultaneously improve on so many fronts.<br />

India is no exception. But the SDGs offer a<br />

window of opportunity. The education goal<br />

and its targets are strongly aligned with the<br />

aspirations of India’s young population and<br />

with its economic needs. Achieving SDG 4<br />

will build strong foundations for economic<br />

prosperity—but this will not happen in a<br />

business-as-usual mode.<br />

India requires a Decade-Long Mission<br />

for Education—a multi-year project built<br />

around national consensus, cutting across<br />

political and regional differences, that<br />

moves the country in the direction of the<br />

SDG targets. This chapter describes these<br />

components but omits discussion on those<br />

areas where the Government of India<br />

already has flagship programmes, such<br />

as Skill India. It identifies those specific<br />

policies without which achieving the SDG<br />

is impossible.<br />

It is important to recognise one truism—<br />

strong government action, at the Centre<br />

and in states, will drive achievement of<br />

SDG 4. No country in the world has<br />

achieved education outcomes similar to<br />

the SDGs without sustained and effective<br />

public investment, and a responsive,<br />

effective system that supports it.<br />

ICDS 2.0<br />

Neuroscience has now confirmed that<br />

the foundations of brain architecture and<br />

functioning are created in early childhood<br />

in a process that is guided by external<br />

influence. 11 The growth and pruning of<br />

neuronal systems in early years support<br />

early skills, including cognitive, social and<br />

emotional and executive function skills. 12<br />

Each skill is predictive of school success,<br />

higher earnings, active participation in<br />

society, and lower odds of delinquency,<br />

crime, and chronic and non-communicable<br />

disease. Therefore, investment in early<br />

childhood care results in greater cost<br />

savings than investment later in the life<br />

cycle. 13<br />

Despite its four-decade history, the ICDS<br />

has not succeeded nationally. Moving<br />

forward, ICDS implementation will require<br />

37

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