Thinking, Fast and Slow - Daniel Kahneman

“There is no controversy”: Paul Meehl, “Causes and Effects of My Disturbing Little Book,”
Journal of Personality Assessment 50 (1986): 370–75.
a factor of 10 or more: During the 1990–1991 auction season, for example, the price in
London of a case of 1960 Chateau Latour averaged $464; a case of the 1961 vintage (one of
the best ever) fetched an average of $5,432.
Experienced radiologists: Paul J. Hoffman, Paul Slovic, and Leonard G. Rorer, “An Analysisof-Variance
Model for the Assessment of Configural Cue Utilization in Clinical Judgment,”
Psychological Bulletin 69 (1968): 338–39.
internal corporate audits: Paul R. Brown, “Independent Auditor Judgment in the Evaluation of
Internal Audit Functions,” Journal of Accounting Research 21 (1983): 444–55.
41 separate studies: James Shanteau, “Psychological Characteristics and Strategies of Expert
Decision Makers,” Acta Psychologica 68 (1988): 203–15.
successive food breaks: Danziger, Levav, and Avnaim-Pesso, “Extraneous Factors in Judicial
Decisions.”
lowering validity: Richard A. DeVaul et al., “Medical-School Performance of Initially
Rejected Students,” JAMA 257 (1987): 47–51. Jason Dana and Robyn M. Dawes, “Belief in
the Unstructured Interview: The Persistence of an Illusion,” working paper, Department of
Psychology, University of Pennsylvania, 2011. William M. Grove et al., “Clinical Versus
Mechanical Prediction: A Meta-Analysis,” Psychological Assessment 12 (2000): 19–30.
Dawes’s famous article: Robyn M. Dawes, “The Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models in
Decision Making,” American Psychologist 34 (1979): 571–82.
not affected by accidents of sampling: Jason Dana and Robyn M. Dawes, “The Superiority of
Simple Alternatives to Regression for Social Science Predictions,” Journal of Educational and
Behavioral Statistics 29 (2004): 317–31.
Dr. Apgar: Virginia Apgar, “A Proposal for a New Method of Evaluation of the Newborn
Infant,” Current Researches in Anesthesia and Analgesia 32 (1953): 260–67. Mieczyslaw
Finster and Margaret Wood, “The Apgar Score Has Survived the Test of Time,”
Anesthesiology 102 (2005): 855–57.
virtues of checklists: Atul Gawande, The Checklist Manifesto: How to Get Things Right (New
York: Metropolitan Books, 2009).
organic fruit: Paul Rozin, “The Meaning of ‘Natural’: Process More Important than Content,”
Psychological Science 16 (2005): 652–58.
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