06.03.2016 Views

Thinking, Fast and Slow - Daniel Kahneman

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t="-5%"><br />

post-traumatic stress<br />

poverty<br />

precautionary principle<br />

predictability, insensitivity to<br />

predictions <strong>and</strong> forecasts; baseline; clinical vs. statistical; disciplining; of experts, see<br />

expert intuition; extreme, value of; formulas for, see formulas; increasing accuracy<br />

in; low-validity environments <strong>and</strong>; nonregressive; objections to moderating;<br />

optimistic bias in; outside view in; overconfidence in; planning fallacy <strong>and</strong>; shortterm<br />

trends <strong>and</strong>; valid, illusion of; see also probability<br />

preference reversals; unjust<br />

premonition, use of word<br />

premortem<br />

pretentiousness language<br />

pricing policies<br />

priming; anchoring as<br />

Princeton University<br />

probability; base rates in, see base rates; decision weights <strong>and</strong>, see decision weights;<br />

definitions of; <strong>and</strong> disciplining intuition; less-is-more pattern <strong>and</strong>; Linda problem<br />

<strong>and</strong>; overestimation of; plausibility <strong>and</strong>; <strong>and</strong> predicting by representativeness; prior,<br />

insensitivity to; professional stereotypes <strong>and</strong>; of rare events, see rare events;<br />

representativeness <strong>and</strong>, see representativeness; similarity <strong>and</strong>; subjective; as sum-like<br />

variable; see also predictions <strong>and</strong> forecasts<br />

probability neglect<br />

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<br />

professional stereotypes<br />

professorial c<strong>and</strong>idates<br />

prospect theory; in Albert <strong>and</strong> Ben problem; blind spots of; cumulative; decision<br />

weights <strong>and</strong> probabilities in; fourfold pattern in; frames <strong>and</strong>; graph of losses <strong>and</strong><br />

gains in; loss aversion in; reference points in

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