Thinking, Fast and Slow - Daniel Kahneman

“Pallid” statistical information: Richard E. Nisbett and Lee D. Ross, Human Inference:
Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment (Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1980).
impersonality of procedures: Fo {i>How Doctors Think (New York: Mariner Books, 2008), 6.
planning fallacy: Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, “Intuitive Prediction: Biases and
Corrective Procedures,” Management Science 12 (1979): 313–27.
Scottish Parliament building: Rt. Hon. The Lord Fraser of Carmyllie, “The Holyrood Inquiry,
Final Report,” September 8, 2004, www.holyroodinquiry.org/FINAL_report/report.htm.
did not become more reliant on it: Brent Flyvbjerg, Mette K. Skamris Holm, and Søren L.
Buhl, “How (In)accurate Are Demand Forecasts in Public Works Projects?” Journal of the
American Planning Association 71 (2005): 131–46.
survey of American homeowners: “2002 Cost vs. Value Report,” Remodeling, November 20,
2002.
completion times: Brent Flyvbjerg, “From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks
Right,” Project Management Journal 37 (2006): 5–15.
sunk-cost fallacy: Hal R. Arkes and Catherine Blumer, “The Psychology of Sunk Cost,”
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 35 (1985): 124–40. Hal R. Arkes and
Peter Ayton, “The Sunk Cost and Concorde Effects: Are Humans Less Rational Than Lower
Animals?” Psychological Bulletin 125 (1998): 591–600.
24: The Engine of Capitalism
you already feel fortunate: Miriam A. Mosing et al., “Genetic and Environmental Influences
on Optimism and Its Relationship to Mental and Self-Rated Health: A Study of Aging Twins,”
Behavior Genetics 39 (2009): 597–604. David Snowdon, Aging with Grace: What the Nun
Study Teaches Us About Leading Longer, Healthier, and More Meaningful Lives (New York:
Bantam Books, 2001).
bright side of everything: Elaine Fox, Anna Ridgewell, and Chris Ashwin, “Looking on the
Bright Side: Biased Attention and the Human Serotonin Transporter Gene,” Proceedings of the
Royal Society B 276 (2009): 1747–51.
“triumph of hope over experience”: Manju Puri and David T. Robinson, “Optimism and
Economic Choice,” Journal of Financial Economics 86 (2007): 71–99.
more sanguine than midlevel managers: Lowell W. Busenitz and Jay B. Barney, “Differences
Between Entrepreneurs and Managers in Large Organizations: Biases and Heuristics in
Strategic Decision-Making,” Journal of Business Venturing 12 (1997): 9–30.