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Thinking, Fast and Slow - Daniel Kahneman

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half of the tokens will change h<strong>and</strong>s: Imagine that all the participants are ordered in a line by<br />

the redemption value assigned to them. Now r<strong>and</strong>omly allocate tokens to half the individuals<br />

in the line. Half of the people in the front of the line will not have a token, <strong>and</strong> half of the<br />

people at the end of the line will own one. These people (half of the total) are expected to<br />

move by trading places with each other, so that in the end everyone in the first half of the line<br />

has a token, <strong>and</strong> no one behind them does.<br />

Brain recordings: Brian Knutson et al., “Neural Antecedents of the Endowment Effect,”<br />

Neuron 58 (2008): 814–22. Brian Knutson an {an utson et ad Stephanie M. Greer,<br />

“Anticipatory Affect: Neural Correlates <strong>and</strong> Consequences for Choice,” Philosophical<br />

Transactions of the Royal Society B 363 (2008): 3771–86.<br />

riskless <strong>and</strong> risky decisions: A review of the price of risk, based on “international data from 16<br />

different countries during over 100 years,” yielded an estimate of 2.3, “in striking agreement<br />

with estimates obtained in the very different methodology of laboratory experiments of<br />

individual decision-making”: Moshe Levy, “Loss Aversion <strong>and</strong> the Price of Risk,”<br />

Quantitative Finance 10 (2010): 1009–22.<br />

effect of price increases: Miles O. Bidwel, Bruce X. Wang, <strong>and</strong> J. Douglas Zona, “An Analysis<br />

of Asymmetric Dem<strong>and</strong> Response to Price Changes: The Case of Local Telephone Calls,”<br />

Journal of Regulatory Economics 8 (1995): 285–98. Bruce G. S. Hardie, Eric J. Johnson, <strong>and</strong><br />

Peter S. Fader, “Modeling Loss Aversion <strong>and</strong> Reference Dependence Effects on Br<strong>and</strong><br />

Choice,” Marketing Science 12 (1993): 378–94.<br />

illustrate the power of these concepts: Colin Camerer, “Three Cheers—Psychological,<br />

Theoretical, Empirical—for Loss Aversion,” Journal of Marketing Research 42 (2005): 129–<br />

33. Colin F. Camerer, “Prospect Theory in the Wild: Evidence from the Field,” in Choices,<br />

Values, <strong>and</strong> Frames, ed. <strong>Daniel</strong> <strong>Kahneman</strong> <strong>and</strong> Amos Tversky (New York: Russell Sage<br />

Foundation, 2000), 288–300.<br />

condo apartments in Boston: David Genesove <strong>and</strong> Christopher Mayer, “Loss Aversion <strong>and</strong><br />

Seller Behavior: Evidence from the Housing Market,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 116<br />

(2001): 1233–60.<br />

effect of trading experience: John A. List, “Does Market Experience Eliminate Market<br />

Anomalies?” Quarterly Journal of Economics 118 (2003): 47–71.<br />

Jack Knetsch also: Jack L. Knetsch, “The Endowment Effect <strong>and</strong> Evidence of Nonreversible<br />

Indifference Curves,” American Economic Review 79 (1989): 1277–84.<br />

ongoing debate about the endowment effect: Charles R. Plott <strong>and</strong> Kathryn Zeiler, “The<br />

Willingness to Pay–Willingness to Accept Gap, the ‘Endowment Effect,’ Subject<br />

Misconceptions, <strong>and</strong> Experimental Procedures for Eliciting Valuations,” American Economic<br />

Review 95 (2005): 530–45. Charles Plott, a leading experimental economist, has been very<br />

skeptical of the endowment effect <strong>and</strong> has attempted to show that it is not a “fundamental<br />

aspect of human preference” but rather an outcome of inferior technique. Plott <strong>and</strong> Zeiler<br />

believe that participants who show the endowment effect are under some misconception about<br />

what their true values are, <strong>and</strong> they modified the procedures of the original experiments to

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