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No. 16 (PC 16)<br />

Temporal changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (delta eGFR) may be a<br />

predictor of progression to coronary heart disease<br />

So-Young Kim, Tae-Dong Jeong, Woochang Lee, Sail Chun, Won-Ki Min*<br />

Department of Laboratory Medicine, Asan Medical Center and University of Ulsan College of Medicine,<br />

Seoul, Korea<br />

Background: Chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular disease are major public health problems<br />

worldwide and often share the same pathophysiological mechanisms. Indeed, the prevalence of<br />

traditional cardiovascular risk factors can be higher in those with impaired kidney function, and most<br />

patients with a lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) die of cardiovascular causes and not<br />

due to progression to end stage renal disease. However, the effect of reduced eGFR on coronary heart<br />

disease has not been well delineated among Korean population. Here, we reviewed temporal changes in<br />

eGFR (delta eGFR, ΔeGFR) of the healthy Korean population, and then, carried out a study to<br />

investigate the link between a ΔeGFR and the risk of coronary heart disease.<br />

Methods: We reviewed data of 7676 healthy outpatients selected from a population of - 10,000<br />

individuals referred to the health promotion center of the ASAN medical center between January 2010<br />

and December 2010. At the time of the first evaluation, data of patients` age, sex, blood pressure,<br />

creatinine, total cholesterol, LDL, HDL and triglycerides as well as history of smoking, hypertension or<br />

familial coronary heart disease were collected by chart review. The % risk of coronary heart disease<br />

were calculated by Framingham score (Score:www.nhlbi.nih.gov/guidelines/cholesterol). We classified<br />

ΔeGFR % into 4 groups according to Gaussian distribution, ±2 standard deviation (SD); below -2SD,<br />

-2SD to mean, mean to +2SD, over +2SD (mean=1.559, SD=9.5837).<br />

Results: Among the enrolled patients, 5.9% (456 patients) were over 15 of the Framingham score, and<br />

this is equivalent of coronary heart disease risk over 20% which means they have high risk <strong>for</strong><br />

occurrence of coronary heart disease in ten yrs. A group of over +2SD (ΔeGFR > 19.17%) had odds<br />

ratio of 3.656, and it was related to incident % risk of coronary heart disease rather than other ΔeGFR<br />

groups.<br />

Conclusions: A decline of eGFR > 19.17% was independently related to incident % risk of coronary<br />

heart disease. ΔeGFR could be a possible indicator of progression to the coronary heart disease in<br />

general population. There<strong>for</strong>e, this parameter may be potentially used <strong>for</strong> screening subjects with higher<br />

risk of coronary heart disease.<br />

Keywords: estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), delta eGFR (ΔeGFR), coronary heart disease,<br />

chronic kidney disease<br />

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