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Slavery to Liberation- The African American Experience, 2019a

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322<br />

Source: Congressional Election Data, 1970-2012.<br />

Figure 2 shows the reelection rate of <strong>African</strong> <strong>American</strong> Congressional Incumbents<br />

in1970-2012 44 . <strong>The</strong> data suggest that <strong>African</strong> <strong>American</strong> incumbents in Congress are<br />

reelected at a very high rate. Figure 2 shows that nearly 92 percent of <strong>African</strong> <strong>American</strong><br />

congressional incumbents between 1970 and 2012 were reelected, confirming the<br />

expectation of the incumbency advantage.<br />

<strong>African</strong> <strong>American</strong> incumbents often face weak challengers and are more likely <strong>to</strong><br />

be opposed in an election by a White opponent. According <strong>to</strong> figure 3, between 1970<br />

and 2012, Whites made up about 79 percent of the candidates challenging Black<br />

incumbents while <strong>African</strong> <strong>American</strong>s or other racial groups made up only 21 percent.<br />

44<br />

To examine the elec<strong>to</strong>ral success of <strong>African</strong> <strong>American</strong> incumbents, this research relies<br />

on an original dataset of 1970-2012 and encompasses 426 elections of <strong>African</strong><br />

<strong>American</strong>s in the U.S. House of Representatives. This analysis utilizes the U.S. House<br />

Clerk’s publication entitled Statistics of the Congressional Elections in the United States<br />

1968-2012 and the U.S. Census Data, <strong>The</strong> United States Congressional Districts and<br />

Data. A record of all congressional elections returns for both the incumbents and the<br />

challenger candidates was compiled. Only elections involving <strong>African</strong> <strong>American</strong><br />

incumbents were analyzed. To determine the race and quality of the challenger<br />

candidate, an extensive content analysis was conducted through the use of online<br />

newspaper searches and database (i.e. LexisNexis) queries.

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