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6.3 Suspended Ceiling Design Process - Bilkent University

6.3 Suspended Ceiling Design Process - Bilkent University

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epresent the probability of having to loop back (i.e. iteration) to<br />

earlier activities after a downstream activity was performed.<br />

Partitioning algorithms can be devised to order the tasks in this<br />

DSM such that the probability of iteration or the project duration<br />

is minimized (Smith and Eppinger, 1993).<br />

7. Impact strength: This can be visualized as the fraction of the<br />

original work that has to be repeated if an iteration occurs<br />

Browning (1998). This measure is usually utilized in conjunction<br />

with the probability of repetition measure, above, to simulate the<br />

effect of iterations on project duration.<br />

Browning (1998) has demonstrated that a DSM-based model of a<br />

process could be used to quantify a process configuration’s expected<br />

cost and duration via simulation. It is assumed that cost and duration<br />

are largely a function of the number of iterations required in the process<br />

execution and the scope or impact of those iterations. Since iterations<br />

may or may not occur depending on a variety of variables, this model<br />

treats iterations stochastically, with a probability of occurrence<br />

depending on the particular package of information initiating rework.<br />

Thus, this approach requires a DSM model and some additional data<br />

such as cost and duration estimates, learning curve, probability of a<br />

typical change in the data causing rework, and the impact of that rework<br />

if it occurs.<br />

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