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Advanced Building Simulation

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Horizontal insolation (MJ/m 2 /day)<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Jan<br />

<strong>Simulation</strong> and uncertainty: weather predictions 83<br />

Actual historical data<br />

Simulated results<br />

Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Figure 3.17 Comparison of horizontal daily solar radiation from simulated versus real data.<br />

Clg DD SD<br />

Clg DD Ave<br />

Htg DD SD<br />

Htg DD Ave<br />

Solar SD<br />

Solar Ave<br />

6.1<br />

6.3<br />

0 20<br />

19<br />

19.5<br />

105.2<br />

103.8<br />

118.8<br />

117.4<br />

128.3<br />

127.7<br />

141.4<br />

142<br />

Historical Simulated<br />

40 60 80 100 120 140 160<br />

Figure 3.18 Comparison of results from the simulation model to historical weather data. Values<br />

represent monthly mean (Ave) and standard deviation (SD) results for heating degreedays,<br />

cooling degree-days, and horizontal insolation.<br />

also showed less than a 2% difference in an office building’s annual energy consumption<br />

when driven by simulated weather data versus the actual weather data from a<br />

SOLMET data file of recorded data. The data in Figures 3.15–3.17 are plots of monthly<br />

degree-days and solar radiation as derived from the SOLMET file for Dallas, TX,

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