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Session 2: Estimating capital<br />

requirements<br />

A good way to determine the cash needs of a starting <strong>business</strong><br />

is to conduct an income and expenditure analysis. In such an<br />

analysis, entrepreneurs estimate their monthly income, the<br />

costs of initial investments, and recurring operational expenses.<br />

Put into a simple table, this information can be used to<br />

determine the cash flow of the <strong>business</strong>. The cash flow is<br />

simply the money flowing into and out of a <strong>business</strong>. As money<br />

is needed to pay recurring expenses, it is important to know<br />

if a <strong>business</strong> is generating sufficient money to cover expenditures.<br />

This is best explained using a simple example. 17<br />

FINANCING A BUSINESS 105<br />

The following box shows an income and expenditure analysis<br />

for Lara’s dumpling <strong>business</strong>. The capital investment needs are<br />

easy to calculate and need no further explanation. To determine<br />

her working capital needs, Lara calculated her monthly<br />

free cash flow, i.e. the cash that remained after paying the costs<br />

of running the <strong>business</strong>.<br />

Lara’s calculations showed that her <strong>business</strong> would generate<br />

a negative cash flow during the first five months. In other<br />

words, during the first five months, her <strong>business</strong> is not generating<br />

enough money to cover all the expenses incurred in<br />

running it – she will not be able to pay all the materials, utilities<br />

and transport required.<br />

To determine her working capital needs, Lara calculated the<br />

cumulative free cash flow. In the first month the <strong>business</strong> had<br />

many initial expenses and more money flowed out of it than<br />

into it. The <strong>business</strong> therefore generated a negative cash flow<br />

(– $3,675). In the second month, the <strong>business</strong> faced fewer<br />

expenses and more money was flowing into it than out of it;<br />

the <strong>business</strong> generated $625 of available money (free cash<br />

flow). Going through the different months, Lara saw that the<br />

fourth month incurred the largest negative cash flow<br />

(– $4,250). She therefore k<strong>new</strong> that if she could start her <strong>business</strong><br />

with $4,250 in cash, she would be able to pay for all the<br />

17 Adapted from IFRC (2001, p. 29) and ICRC (2009, p. 128).

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