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98<br />

Table 45-Estimated multivariate models of supply of rural<br />

deposits in two studies of Asian low-income<br />

countries<br />

Determinant<br />

Real interest rate on<br />

12-nionth time deposit<br />

Notinal interest rate ol<br />

12-nionth tine deposit<br />

Inflationi rate<br />

Dummy %ariable for<br />

Sri Lianka<br />

l)nmy variahle for Nepal<br />

Diimmy variable for Pakistan<br />

R2<br />

Number of obser % ations<br />

India, Nepal,<br />

Pakistan and Sri Lanka<br />

Together, 1970-81,<br />

PCRDSD<br />

(Srinivasan and<br />

Meyer 1936)<br />

Model I<br />

1.72<br />

(3.I)*[6]<br />

...<br />

...<br />

Model I<br />

...<br />

0.06<br />

(0.6)[9]<br />

-0.01<br />

(-0.1)[10]<br />

Bangladesh, India,<br />

Nepal, Pakistan,<br />

and Sri Lank.<br />

Together, 1970-81,<br />

PCRDSD<br />

(Srinivasan and<br />

Meyer 1986)<br />

Model I Model 11<br />

2.5,.<br />

(5..1)*171<br />

.. . 0.13<br />

(I.0))[ 11<br />

... -0.68<br />

(-1.7)**[8]<br />

Nimbe"r of bank branches<br />

per 1,000 inhabitants in<br />

rural areas<br />

1.31<br />

1.30<br />

1.33 1.31<br />

(18.8)-[11 (19.3)*[ 1] (15.6)*111 (12..l)*[l]<br />

Per capita teal agrictilitnrai<br />

GDP<br />

0.53<br />

0.62<br />

0.59<br />

(5..)*[.I](,1.3)*[5](5.9) *161<br />

0.72<br />

.. 0)*[7]<br />

-. 1.2-1 -4.21<br />

(-8.8)*[31 (-9.0)*[31<br />

- 0.96 -0.9 1<br />

(-1.2)191 (-1.0)[8]<br />

-3.38 -3.32<br />

0.88 0.87<br />

12 12<br />

-.1.32 -. 1.10<br />

(-9.6)*[21 (-7.6)*12]<br />

-1.32 - 1.07<br />

(-l.8)**[ 1l] (-1.2) [12]<br />

-3.57 -3.18<br />

0.98 0.97<br />

12 12<br />

Notes: Figures in parentheses are i-values. Figures in brackets are ranks based on<br />

us.gnitsode of t.values (ignoring signs).<br />

PCRDSI) = Per capita real dletiautd atld savings deposits in rtiral areas.<br />

*Significant at pelcetnt.<br />

**Significant at5 percent.<br />

1966; Lee and Kint 1976; Ohio State Ulhiversity 1987; ThIingalaya 1980;<br />

TtI'an 1973; van Wijnbecrgeii 1983d; anld Wiseit annd Hitris 1980).<br />

Tie study on the Repnublic of Korwa (Ain, Adatis, and Ro 1979)<br />

suggests that between 1961 and 1976 the farli hoitsehol(Is si,!;: iitttel<br />

liquid assets (such as cash, deposits, Ioan.(I ntolly, and others) and<br />

Dhysically productive resouirces fol- semili(ltid assets (such as sinall<br />

anitials, p1odtict inventories, and 1)rodticel's itiaterial intventories).<br />

These substitutions may have been encoulragc( by highier retirns On

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