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I Fiance Apicultural

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83<br />

Table 3 9-Estimated multivariate models of demand for rural<br />

credit in three middle-income countries<br />

Item<br />

Brazil<br />

1965'<br />

CII.<br />

Real interest rate -22.32<br />

(0.2)61<br />

Kenya CCBI. 1977-83"<br />

Model I Model Ii Model IIl<br />

-0.41<br />

(1.7)131<br />

-0.39<br />

1-.6)[8]<br />

-O.111;<br />

(- 19),..11<br />

Reptublic<br />

of Korea<br />

1970'<br />

Value of im Cesttleil -0.22 . ... ... 0.93<br />

Net cash farin income<br />

Cash at beginning year<br />

(.3)'121<br />

-0.18<br />

(-4.1)131<br />

"<br />

ClI.<br />

...<br />

... -0.02<br />

Debt outstanding -0.85 . ... .... 0.58<br />

Ralio of debt ol,rtanding<br />

to value of assets<br />

(3.2)*41<br />

Years of scho(lilg<br />

(-2.7)-151<br />

60 .60<br />

(11.8)'* 2]<br />

AFC lending rataeto bank<br />

lendling rate ... 1.39<br />

Amount of .\FC loan approvals<br />

(flling file (111l lt %,eighted<br />

-268.26 ... ... ..<br />

... ... ... ...<br />

(2.1)[11I]<br />

1.74<br />

(1.4)[9]<br />

.11I<br />

(0.9)[9]<br />

I). fite p) fbaluiity that ttei e<br />

was quantity rationing<br />

Amount of AFC credit approved<br />

ill the prevtotts quarters<br />

weighted by the probability<br />

... -0.002<br />

(-0.6)[16]<br />

-0.001<br />

(-0.5)[121<br />

-0.001<br />

(-0.5)[11<br />

that there was credit rationing<br />

in the previous quarter ... -0.003 -0.001 -0.001<br />

Time trend ...<br />

(-0.9)[121<br />

2.07<br />

(-0.5)f11]<br />

0.27<br />

(-0.3)111<br />

0.24<br />

(0.7)f 15] (3.5)' I] (3.0)*121<br />

Per capita GNP ... -13.23 -11.90 -21..42<br />

(- .9)[2] (2.8)'[3] (-2.8)*[31<br />

Percent of population that Itas<br />

Wage employment in tie area ... 2.79 3.29 3. 1..<br />

(2.5)*[ 1] (3..l)'121 (3.2)*011<br />

'ercet of trust land in ihe<br />

area that bas.,been<br />

adjudicated and registered ... 0.55 ... ..<br />

Prices (0.8)114]<br />

Inputs<br />

... -47.35 -1.58 ..<br />

(-1.2)181 (-2.7)*1]4<br />

Coffee<br />

... -28.80 0.33<br />

(-.1)120] (2.2)112]<br />

(continued)

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