CAD/CAM/CAE : electronic design automation, 1992 - Archive Server

3-6 CAD/CAM/CAE—Electronic Design Automation Applications
Figure 3-5
CAE Software Regional Consumption History and Forecast
Percentage of Market
I I I I " "' I I 1 r
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
Source: Dataquest (December 1992)
D
S
•
m
ROW
Asia
Europe
North
America
been the source of most of the growth during this period, and Dataquest
anticipates that its position will remain strong for the coming
12 to 18 months.
G2001956
We expect that the logic synthesis market will continue to show strong
revenue growth for the foreseeable future. Indeed, our end-user
research reveals that users have a demand for increasing the number
of logic synthesis licenses by almost 90 percent, as shov^m in
Figure 3-2. However, by early 1994 we anticipate that the industry
will be filled with an abundance of competent suppliers, addressing
a broad range of synthesis capabilities. At that point we feel that the
market will experience substantial price erosion. The impending
supply-side fragmentation will imdoubtedly diminish both revenue
and profit opporturuties. We feel that logic synthesis will continue to
show rapid growth rates, with year-to-year growth in the 20 to 35 percent
range. Dataquest believes that the total logic synthesis market
will reach $180 million by 1996 (see Figure 3-6).
Design Entry Forecast
Dataquest's research shows that the traditional gate-level schematic
entry market has reached a point of maturity and is moving into a
period of decline. The technology has become a commodity, and the
market is virtually saturated. Dataquest's historical data show that
digital schematic entry has begun its decline, with 1991 revenue down
11 percent from the 1990 revenue of $160 million. We believe that the
December 28,1992 ©1992 Dataquest Incorporated CCAM-EDA-MT-9202