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CAD/CAM/CAE : electronic design automation, 1992 - Archive Server

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Figure 1<br />

Changes in User Categories<br />

(1991 to 1996)<br />

Percentage<br />

70-d<br />

60-<br />

50-<br />

40-<br />

30-<br />

20-<br />

10-<br />

O-pa<br />

PCB: PCB Layout Specialists<br />

EE: Electronic Engineers<br />

MPE: Mechanical Packaging Engineers<br />

Source: Dataquest (August <strong>1992</strong>)<br />

Equipment Corporation's new Alpha microprocessor<br />

currently runs at a clock frequency<br />

of 200 MHz and dissipates a very hot<br />

30 watts of power (higher than most circuit<br />

board soldering irons). A 1-GHz version<br />

planned for 1994 wiU dissipate 175 watts.<br />

• Multichip modules—^Multichip modules<br />

(MCMs) are characterized by several naked<br />

dice movmted very close together in a confined<br />

space. Couple this with another characteristic<br />

of MCMs—^high operating frequencies—<br />

and severe thermal problems result. Thermal<br />

problems are intensified through the growing<br />

use of solder-bump flip-chip device packaging<br />

and assembly, since the major heat-transfer<br />

path is through the solder bumps. These<br />

problems have led to the use of thermal vias<br />

in MCM substrates—^the required numbers<br />

and locations of which are difficult to calculate<br />

manually.<br />

For these reasons, we believe that thermal<br />

analysis is indispensable for MCM <strong>design</strong>,<br />

which will provide a significant boost to the<br />

thermal an^ysis market.<br />

• Miniaturization—^From 1985 to 1991, the size<br />

volume of comparable computing equipment<br />

<strong>CAD</strong>/<strong>CAM</strong>/<strong>CAE</strong>—Electronic Design Automation Applications<br />

0 1991 n 1996<br />

MrLW^^^^^ —,<br />

T 1 —^-i r<br />

MPE MDE TE RE<br />

User Categories<br />

MDE: Mechanical Design Engineers<br />

TE: Thermal Engineers<br />

RE: Reliability Engineers<br />

02000985<br />

reduced thirtyfold. Similar size reductions<br />

were evident in many other <strong>electronic</strong> sectors.<br />

Equipment that was previously large enough<br />

to support internal fans are now too small.<br />

Heat-sink areas and cooHng-air volume are<br />

correspondingly reduced—^yet clock speeds<br />

continue to increase. As a result, thermal<br />

problems mtdtiply.<br />

• New <strong>design</strong> methodologies—^As engineers and<br />

companies increase their vise of EDA tools,<br />

company working practices will evolve in a<br />

direction that will expect comprehensive analysis<br />

of aU aspects of a <strong>design</strong>. Release-control<br />

procedures will prohibit the release of any<br />

<strong>design</strong> information into manufacturing unless<br />

these analyses can be proven to have taken<br />

place. We believe that thermal analysis is an<br />

important part of product <strong>design</strong> and will be<br />

induded in most large-company procedures.<br />

When this happens, use of the tools becomes<br />

mandatory.<br />

We have discussed the market drivers in the<br />

context of the PCB thermal market. However,<br />

they apply equally to aU three thermal sectors:<br />

IC, PCB, and system. Furthermore, w^e believe<br />

that increased use of tools at one level will<br />

August 31, <strong>1992</strong> ©<strong>1992</strong> Dataquest Incoiporated C<strong>CAM</strong>-EDA-DP-9202

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