CAD/CAM/CAE : electronic design automation, 1992 - Archive Server

4-2 CAD/CAM/CAE—Electronic Design Automation Applications
Driving Forces
At the present time, there is little excitement occurring at the layout
level, and Dataquest research shoves that there will be little growth in
the near term. Indeed, our end-user research shows that users do not
anticipate increasing the niomber of licenses of PCB layout products,
as shown in Figure 4-2. As reported in earlier publications, a limiting
factor to the increased usage of PCB layout tools is the lack of a
widespread trend to decrease board size. In the ASIC world, designstart
gate densities continue to increase dramatically, requiring new
productivity enhancement tools, although our research has determined
that board design sizes will not experience a widespread decrease in
size. Additionally, this force wovdd not necessarily be enough to supplant
the nximber of companies that are farming out the layout of
their simpler board designs, Dataquest believes that there is a potential
for opportunity in what may now be classified as a saturated
PCB/MCM/Hybrid layout market. We anticipate that the following
areas may breathe some life into the PCB/MCM/Hybrid market:
• MCM Technology Acceptance
• Thermal Analysis Tools
MCM Technology Acceptance
The multichip module is emerging as one of the most important
packaging technologies since the advent of surface moimt devices,
and Dataquest anticipates that this technology wUl find increasing
use in all electronic sectors. This technology demands new
Figure 4-2
Percentage Difference in Number of Licenses Owned versus Number Needed,
PCB Applications
Percentage Change In Number of Licenses
160
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Source: Dataquest (December 1992)
PCB Layout thermal Analysis
North America Japan H Europe • Worldwide Average
G2001971
December 28,1992 ©1992 Dataquest Incorporated CCAM-EDA-MT-9202