CAD/CAM/CAE : electronic design automation, 1992 - Archive Server

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Figure 1 History and Forecast for the CAD/CAM/CAE/GIS Market: Hardware, Software, and Services Percentage 100- 90 ^ 80-1 70-1 60-1 50-1 40-1 30-1 20-1 10-1 .3%1 ,.^ 13.2% 15.0% 13.9% 13,2% 16.1% 14.6% 16.6% 16.5% 13.0%. ML 17.5% 19.i%: 18,4% iM-- • ^ry-i: 20,1% 20.9% 21.6% 20.2% 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Note: Columns may not add up to 100 percent because of rounding. Source: Dataquest (October 1992) til Ser p-. Unb I—' Sof Bun Sof Har
North American Forecast Drivers The North American market was flat in 1991 at $5.0 bilhon and is forecast to grow at a 6 percent CAGR through 1996 (see Figure 2). The main factors driving the North American forecast are the following: • According to The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation's latest monthly survey of 1,000 manufacturers' nationwide, manufacturers modest expectations for improvements in operating conditions were essentially unchanged, despite reports of improved conditions in the past few months. However, the one bright spot in the recent survey is that manufacturers' expectations to increase capacity in the next three months rose sharply. This bodes well for increases in capital spending. With the cost of capital so low, many companies are seeking to invest in systems and equipment that boost productivity. Market growth will increase as manufacturers invest in CAD/CAM/CAE/GIS systems. • Market growth will be limited for the second half of 1992 and most of 1993 as businesses wait for the outcome of the November election and the implementation of new fiscal policies. Fiscal policy proposals include restoring investment tax credits, accelerating depreciation for many investments, and reducing capital gains. The budget deficit issue will also have to be addressed. Most likely, after the elections, some form of tax increases and/or spending cuts will occur. A Republican win would favor defense spending, which would help EDA and mechanical sales; a Democratic win would favor infrastructure spending (such as roads and bridges), wWch is more likely to benefit sales to AEC and GIS applications. Businesses will postpone purchases until they have a better indication of what the new policies will be and how they will affect their investment decisions. • Market growth will be reduced because of decreasing average selling prices (ASPs). The United States is a large market with more developed distribution channels and larger order sizes than in other regions. Streamlined distribution channels leave fewer places for profit to hide; therefore, ASPs have declined more sharply. In contrast, Europe is the sum of many smaller country markets, each with its own customs and CAD/CAM/CAE^-ElectronJc Design Automation Applications requirements. Because of these special requirements, ASPs have not been as pressured to decline in European markets; therefore, North American unit shipments will continue to grow significandy, while revenue will grow at a slower rate because of strong price competition. • Market growth will be limited because of lower defense spending. Spending cuts for the defense budget of 25 to 30 percent during the next five years are being proposed by the U.S. administration. In the United States, both Republicans and Democrats are seeking to balance defense spending cuts against the large forecast loss of jobs that will occur when such reductions are incurred. Most likely, the U.S. Department of Defense will encourage continued growth in R&D spending, w^hile severely limiting the number of programs that would ultimately make the transition to production. CAD companies heavily dependent on direct or indirect government defense spending contracts increasingly will have limited growth opportunities. European Forecast Drivers ©1992 Dataquest Incorporated October—Reproduction Proliibited The European market grew 4 percent in 1991 to $5.5 billion and will reach $7.9 billion by 1996. This market is forecast to have an 8 percent CAGR for revenue through 1996. The main issues driving the European forecast include the following: • Growth will steadily increase in Eastern Europe. The collapse of the Soviet Union as an export market has complicated the difficult situation already facing other Central and Eastern European countries as they make the transition to market economies and establish new international trading arrangements. Poland, Hungary, and more recendy Czechoslovakia have made impressive progress in shifting exports to other markets. In all these countries, prices have been set fi"ee and inflation seems to be coming under control. The initial groundwork toward adopting market economies has been laid. GDP/GNP growth is forecast to turn positive during the 1992 to 1993 period and reach strength toward 1994. As these countries' economies become market economies, CAD/CAM/CAE/GIS opportunities will increase, also.
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Dataquest CAD/CAM/CAE Electronic De
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DataQuest' Electronic Design Automa
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Published hy Dataquest Incorporated
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Table of Contents (Continued) Page
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List of Figures (Continued) Figure
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Chapter 1 Executive Summary Introdu
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Executive Summary 1-3 The renewed i
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2-2 CAD/CAM/CAE—Electronic Design
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2-^ CAD/CAM/CAE—Electronic Design
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2-10 CAD/CAiWCAE—Electronic Desig
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3-2 CAD/CAIWCAE—Electronic Design
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3-22 CAD/CAM/CAEEIectronic Design A
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4-2 Figure 4-2 North American Board
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4-6 CAO/C/W/CAE—Electronic Design
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5^ CAD/CAWCAE—Electronic Design A
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5-10 Figtire 5-9 Mean Importance Ra
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Appendix A Dataquest Electronic Des
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Dataquest Electronic Design Surv^ A
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Dataquest Electronic Design Survey
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Dataquest Electronic Design Surv^^
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Dataoyesf n n a company of MBMM The
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Dataquest Perspective CAD/CAM/CAE E
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CAD/CAM/CAE—Electronic Design Aut
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8 For More Information . . . CAD/CA
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DataQuest' Electronic Design Automa
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Published by Dataquest Incorporated
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Table of Contents (Continued) Page
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List of Tables Table Page 2-1 1991
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Chapter 2 Executive Summary of the
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Executive Summary of the EDA Market
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Executive Summary of the EDA Market
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Chapter 4 PCB Market — ^ - ^ ^ -
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PCB Market 4-3 • MCM-D (Deposited
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m a > o t Table 4-2 PCB/MCM/Hybrid
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Chapter 5 IC Layout Market 1991: Th
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IC Layout Market 5-3 During the pas
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IC Layout Market 5-5 business. The
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i ? i o Table 5-3 IC Layout Softwar
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DataQuest Dataquest Research and Sa
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Electronic Design Automation Applic
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Table Page 52 Rest of World Server
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Table 1 CAD/CAM/CAE/aS 1991 Market
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Table 3 (Continued) 1991 CAD/CAM/CA
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according to the following segmenta
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• Director of Market Development
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I I V I Electronic Design Automatio
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B ! I I I Table 85 1991 CAD/CAM/CAE
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lO I 1 I I I I Table 92 1991 CAD/CA
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lo •i j I I I Table 100 1991 CAD/
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Dataquest Dataquest Research and Sa
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DataoiJest' EDA Appiications Preiim
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EDA Applications Preliminary Foreca
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Table Page ^ 57 North America All P
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package for each person; the sharin
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European Forecast Drivers The Europ
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Figure 4 CAD/CAM/CAE Revised Platfo
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Fûure 6 CAD/CAM/CAE InstaUed Base
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to s* I I I I Table 101 PreUminary
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K ataquest EDA Applications Prelimi
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Published by Dataquest Incorporated
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Tables Page Electronic Design Autom
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Tables Page PCB/Hybrid/MCM (Continu
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This document contains Dataquesfs d
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• Unit shipment is defined as the
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§> 1 I I I I Table 4 Application:
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22 CAD/CAM/CAE-^lectronic Design Au
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lO & •B s- a I Table $ (Continued
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3 ••4 n o S. td I fp 'S' g- 9 I
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@ 8! i s 9 I H a Table 6 (Coratlnue
Page 688 and 689:
K) f 11 & I % Table 7 1991 Prelimin
Page 690 and 691:
e •8 •n a. I I I Table 7 (Conti
Page 692 and 693:
I •n 8- §• a Table 8 1991 PreU
Page 694 and 695:
e h-* 1 I c I I I Table 9 1991 Prel
Page 696 and 697:
e I i I I I Table 10 (Continued) 19
Page 698 and 699:
40 CAD/CAM/CAE—Electronic Design
Page 700 and 701:
@ H^ I i I a Table 11 (Continued) 1
Page 702 and 703:
i I I •a 3- a Table 11 (Continued
Page 704 and 705:
lO I ti n tr I Table 12 (Continued)
Page 706 and 707:
•o f I I I 17 a Table 12 (Continu
Page 708 and 709:
1 I I I I i Table 13 (ConttnuedO 19
Page 710 and 711:
P psiiqiqoid uotpnixudsH—Aiemqsti
Page 712 and 713:
© }-* I I B- ! I I Table 15 (Coatl
Page 714 and 715:
6 I-* 10 8 s- I *o 3 a Table 16 (Co
Page 716 and 717:
G I I •a (V I Table 16 (Contlnuei
Page 718 and 719:
I 8- a s I Table 17 (Continue^) 199
Page 720 and 721:
Table 17 (Continued) 1991 PreUmlnar
Page 722 and 723:
6 K) I I I 3* i Table IS (Contiiiue
Page 724 and 725:
66 CAO/CAM/CAE—Electronic Design
Page 726 and 727:
68 CAD/CAM/CAE-^lectronlc Design Au
Page 728 and 729:
e t-t I I 2? 5i t i I Table 22 1991
Page 730 and 731:
e h^ Is) I 2" 5- o I a Table 23 199
Page 732 and 733:
^ I I I I i Table 25 1991 PrcUnOoia
Page 734 and 735:
Table 26 1991 Prellsitmay iCiSi/eMA
Page 736 and 737:
6 I I •a a. I i Table 26 (Continu
Page 738 and 739:
e (o { I S Table 26 (Continued) 199
Page 740 and 741:
H* N) I s I I Table 27 1991 Prellff
Page 742 and 743:
e hu I I I i Table 27 (Continued) 1
Page 744 and 745:
e a •§ 8 •0 3 i Table 28 1991
Page 746 and 747:
s I 5- I I I Table 29 1991 PnhiSîi
Page 748 and 749:
e 1 a 1 1 I 1 I 1 1 a 0 9 1 1 Table
Page 750 and 751:
I I a s I Table 30 (Continued) Appl
Page 752 and 753:
Page 754 and 755:
I i I P I n o. Table 31 (Contiiiiie
Page 756 and 757:
@ « to •§ 1 J? 8- I I Table 52
Page 758 and 759:
IM s I I (V o I I Table 33 1991 Pre
Page 760 and 761:
6 I I 8- I I fi o. Table 34 1991 Pr
Page 762 and 763:
@ I I i I I I Table 35 (Continued)
Page 764 and 765:
106 I I t n C ] I "3 Q ..11 0. 1 ^
Page 766 and 767:
I I I I 1) 3 I Table 36 (Continued)
Page 768 and 769:
Page 770 and 771:
I a s I o. Table 37 (Contlnticd) 19
Page 772 and 773:
e h-* I Tl e- c I I i Table 38 (Con
Page 774 and 775:
ve N) f a I •n n 1 -3 1 1 1 s a T
Page 776 and 777:
e t-* lo S* I I I I i Table 40 (Con
Page 778 and 779:
Is) •g 1 1 I I i Table 41 (Coatin
Page 780 and 781:
Table 4l (Continued) 1991 PreUmlnar
Page 782 and 783:
g 1 I 2? 8- I •0 3 o. Table 42 (C
Page 784 and 785:
I I I Table 43 1991 PreUmltfirjr Ci
Page 786 and 787:
K) •s I I 5? n I I Table 44 1991
Page 788 and 789:
^ I 9 I i Table 45 (Continued) 1991
Page 790 and 791:
e 1 s I 1 I I 1 0 I a Table 46 (Con
Page 792 and 793:
Table 47 (Continued) 1991 Prellmlna
Page 794 and 795:
s % H s I J? p- a s I Table 49 1991
Page 796 and 797:
Table 50 (Continued) 1991 PreUmliia
Page 798 and 799:
I Table 51 (Contiitued) 1991 PrcUml
Page 800 and 801:
O I Table 52 (ContinuefQ 1991 Preli
Page 802 and 803:
Table 54 1991 Prcllndilitt^ CÛ>/CA
Page 804 and 805:
K) ! I 1 I 9 I I Table 56 1991 Prel
Page 806 and 807:
G t-i to I e- I Table 57 Applicatio
Page 808 and 809:
to I ? I I Table $8 1991 Prellfflln
Page 810 and 811:
I I a 2? I I n a Table 60 1991 FVÛ
Page 812 and 813:
J? s- I I I Table 61 (Continued) 19
Page 814 and 815:
Table 62 (Contiaiie IC Layout Techn
Page 816 and 817:
e t-* I 'S 5- I I Table 64 IQQI Pn-
Page 818 and 819:
e I s I •n I I I Table 66 1991 IV
Page 820 and 821:
e M to S i I 'L I •n 3 Table 67 1
Page 822 and 823:
G to 1 % 1 1 I 1 1 f 1 a o 0 i Tabl
Page 824 and 825:
to 1 •a I i I Table 70 1991 Vr6ao
Page 826 and 827:
e I-* ^ % £ jp 1 9 1 i Table 72 19
Page 828 and 829:
o t-^ g 1 1 I I 1 I Table 74 1991 P
Page 830 and 831:
e I 3? s- I I I Table 76 1991 Vrtâ
Page 832 and 833:
1 I I I a Table 76 (Condnued) 1991
Page 834 and 835:
! I I I Table 77 1991 Prelimlbi^ i^
Page 836 and 837:
e H* to •s I I •a a. a s I i Ta
Page 838 and 839:
Q ^ 1 g 8 1 £ •a g 1 t 1 9 1 s p
Page 840 and 841:
f o I I Table 80 (Contiaued) 1991 P
Page 842 and 843:
Table 81 i I I •a
Page 844 and 845:
I I r I Table 81 (Contlimed) 1991 P
Page 846 and 847:
O K) 1 i I I I Table 82 (Contlinied
Page 848 and 849:
lO I I I I Table 84 1991 Prellniliu
Page 850 and 851:
& ^ I I s? s- I I R a Table 8$ (Con
Page 852 and 853:
to I I I I I Table 86 (Coadnued) 19
Page 854 and 855:
196 CAD/CAM/CAE—Electronic Des^ A
Page 856 and 857:
e 1-* f IS 1 ! s- i I 1 0 I 1 Table
Page 858 and 859:
Page 860 and 861:
Page 862 and 863:
@ H^ 1 t i 2 1 I 1 1 a s Table 91 (
Page 864 and 865:
e V? I I 2" s- I I Table 92 (Contin
Page 866 and 867:
e $ N 1 Q 1 1 1 1 1 9 1 Table 94 19
Page 868 and 869:
f I I I I a a Table 95 CContlnued)
Page 870 and 871:
e t-* 10 ! 5? 8- a s I Table 96 (Co
Page 872 and 873:
I •B I i I Table 98 1991 Prellmln
Page 874 and 875:
Table 100 1991 Prellndiiftiy tXD/CA
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