St. Charles County Transportation Plan 2030 - East-West Gateway ...

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When a new interchange is built east of Callahan Rd., replacing the two signalized intersections, it also is very likely to attract new commercial development. Forecasts of employment are shown in Table 32 below. They include the number of jobs in the county, the number of persons who live in the county and are employed, and the number of employed persons who live in the county and work in the county. It confirms what is described in Chapter II, that employment in the county has grown rapidly over the last 25 years. It also notes that many employed persons living in the county now work in the county and the number has been growing. However, because the amount of jobs has not grown as fast as the number of employed persons there is still a need for many persons to commute across the Missouri River. It is expected that this trend will continue for some time with a slight decline in the future (See Table 3, Page 5). Category Table 32 Employment Forecasts St. Louis Region 2000 2005* Years Rate of Change St. Louis Region 92 2030 Projected 2000-2005 2005-2030 Employment 1,303,800 1,350,700 1,481,100 3.6% 9.7% St. Charles County Employment 105,700 124,700 173,500 18.0% 39.1% Percent Working in County Employment as a Percent of Region * Estimated B-3. Vehicle and Household Forecasts 47.0% 50.5% 60.0%* 7.4% 18.8% 8.1% 9.2% 11.7% 13.6% 27.2% An important item used in forecasting travel is the number of vehicles expected in each household. Estimates of households as well as vehicle ownership was developed using historical data and future population. Households were estimated with population and were used to obtain the number of vehicles that would exist. Historical data regarding vehicle registrations for 2000 and 2004 were obtained from the states of Missouri and Illinois but older data (1990) was not comparable or used. Table 33 below shows the number of households and registered autos in 2000 and 2004. It also contains an estimate of households and autos for the year 2030. The data shows that the number of autos in the region increased by 79,700, far exceeding the 33,400 increases in households. In St. Charles County the difference between the growth in vehicles and households was more dramatic. Vehicles increased by 49,300 or 28.0 percent while households grew by 15,700 or 15.4 percent. By
Table 33 Vehicles and Households St. Louis Region Year 2000* 2004* 2030** Registered Autos St. Louis Region 93 Change & % 2000 - 2004 1,689,400 1,769,100 2,200,000 79,700 4.7% Households 969,200 1,002,600 1,188,600 33,400 3.4% Change & % 2004 - 2030** 430,900 24.4% 186,000 18.6% Autos/HH 1.74 1.76 1.85 1.1% 5.1% Registered Autos St. Charles County 176,000 225,300 380,000 49,300 28.0% Households 101,700 117,400 167,800 15,700 15.4% 154,700 68.7% 50,400 42.9% Autos/HH 1.73 1.97 2.26 13.9% 14.7% * Data obtained from the Missouri Department of Revenue and the Illinois Secretary of State, Department of Revenue for 2000 through 2004. Earlier data was not comparable to these data. ** Estimated based on historical values and judgement using the population and employment forecasts. 2030 it is estimated that the region will grow to 1,188,600 households and registered vehicles will reach 2,200,000. This is an 18.6 percent increase in households while vehicle ownership will rise by 24.4 percent. In St. Charles County the change will be even more dramatic with households rising by 42.9 percent and vehicles by 68.7 percent. This shows how travel in St. Charles County can be expected to be much higher than that of the rest of the St. Louis region. C. Highway Travel Future travel on the major highways in St. Charles County and the region will depend on the system in place by 2030. To best estimate what it will look like, Legacy 2030 and the Council’s TIP were used as they list projects that are expected to have adequate funding. For the county’s roads, their TIP and Master Plan were used. Their TIP also listed projects that have dedicated funding. Their Master Plan suggests future improvements. However, some do not presently have dedicated funding. C-1. Traffic Forecasting Methodology The methodology used for developing forecasts of traffic volumes on major MoDOT’s roads and county roads employed a number of steps. First, historical ADTs were obtained from MoDOT and city and county data. Growth factors were developed from these ADTs and applied to each road
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THE ST. CHARLES COUNTY TRANSPORTATI
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Table of Contents (Continued) Chapt
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Table of Contents (Continued) Chapt
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List of Figures Figure Page 1. Coun
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List of Acronyms/Terms AASHTO Ameri
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investment scenarios. Also, more ac
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doubled, going from 46,354 to 101,7
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C. Present Land Use Basic inputs in
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Mueller Rd., Elm Point Rd., and Lit
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land is available for additional de
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Interstate highways serve traffic w
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other uses as well. They generally
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Table 4 Average Daily Traffic Volum
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U.S. 67 is a four-lane expressway t
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Figure 4 Year 2004 Average Daily Tr
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Rt. N has two major parts which are
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Table 6 Missouri River Crossings Ch
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Table 7 Average Daily Traffic Volum
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adds to the amount of VMT that is f
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Criteria Table 10 Level of Service
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I-64 From the Missouri River to wes
Page 51 and 52: I-70 west of U.S. 40/61 to Pearce B
Page 53 and 54: Criteria Table 11 Level of Service
Page 55 and 56: speed of 50 placing it at LOS C. Th
Page 57 and 58: Jungermann Rd. This road runs from
Page 59 and 60: B-5.5. Major Collectors Major Colle
Page 61 and 62: U.S. 67 experienced no delays and t
Page 63 and 64: Road Beginning End Table 14 Travel
Page 65 and 66: southbound from I-70 to Rt. 94 was
Page 67 and 68: • The consultant sent out questio
Page 69 and 70: F. Aviation St. Charles County has
Page 71: B-1.1 MoDOT Roads Number of Crashes
Page 74 and 75: Table 16 Missouri Department of Tra
Page 76 and 77: Crash Rates The crash rate is the b
Page 78 and 79: Table 19 Missouri Department of Tra
Page 80 and 81: B-1.2. Comparison of MoDOT Roads to
Page 82 and 83: Road Table 22 St. Charles County Ma
Page 84 and 85: Table 24 St. Charles County Major R
Page 86 and 87: B-1.4 MoDOT and County Crash Rate C
Page 88 and 89: No. Road Segment Crashes From To Mi
Page 90 and 91: The Council’s long range plan dis
Page 92 and 93: A. Background V. Present Transporta
Page 94 and 95: St. Louis. The next or “Second Ti
Page 96 and 97: County Preservation Table 28 Transp
Page 98 and 99: D-1. Mode of Travel to Work For 200
Page 100 and 101: to I-64, and Winghaven Blvd./Bryan
Page 104 and 105: taking into account future improvem
Page 107: Figure 8 Year 2030 Forcasted Travel
Page 110 and 111: 100
Page 112 and 113: I-64 Summary Traffic volumes on I-6
Page 114 and 115: With an additional lane eastbound (
Page 116 and 117: By 2030 volumes are expected to rea
Page 118 and 119: passes through the signal of the no
Page 120 and 121: Rt. A This five-lane road runs from
Page 122 and 123: of future travel conditions. Some m
Page 124 and 125: Winghaven Blvd. Rt. N to I-64. Wing
Page 126 and 127: severity, and the crash rate (crash
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Page 130 and 131: B-1. MoDOT Roads The following part
Page 132 and 133: 122
Page 134 and 135: study should be low, however, impro
Page 136 and 137: public decisions, and does not mean
Page 139: APPENDICES
Page 143 and 144: APPENDIX B 2030 TRAFFIC VOLUME FORE
Page 145: Appendix B (Continued) Route/ Exist
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