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American Bison - Buffalo Field Campaign

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6.3.4 Population growth rates<br />

The rate of increase of a population is influenced by sex ratio<br />

and age structure, forage and habitat availability and quality,<br />

immigration and emigration combined with reproductive and<br />

mortality rates. The highest rates of increase occur in captive<br />

bison herds, in the absence of predators, where the sex ratio is<br />

skewed towards reproductive age females, some supplemental<br />

feeding occurs, and most, or all, of the population is rounded<br />

up annually and “surplus” bison removed. The Tallgrass Prairie<br />

Preserve (Oklahoma) population attained a rate of increase<br />

of about 50% under such conditions (R. Hamilton, personal<br />

communication).<br />

The maximum exponential rate of increase (r m ) is the rate at<br />

which a population with a stable age structure will grow when<br />

resources are not limiting (Caughley 1977). The observed<br />

exponential rate of population growth over time (ˆr ) may<br />

approximate r m for populations introduced into areas where<br />

resources are abundant (Caughley 1977). The observed rate<br />

of growth may be expected to deviate from r m over time as<br />

a population increases, and per capita resources become<br />

limiting. The length of time for a population to double in size<br />

may be calculated as (natural log (ln) of 2)/ ˆr (Johnson 1994).<br />

Plains bison re-introduced to the NBR in 1909 were permitted<br />

to increase without management intervention for 14 years<br />

(Roelle 1977 in Fredin 1984). The observed exponential rate<br />

of growth of the population in this period, with a starting<br />

population of 37, was ˆr = 0.2053 (Figure 6.3). The population<br />

grew at a rate of 20.5% each year, with a doubling time of 3.4<br />

years, or, given the birth-pulse characteristic of bison, it would<br />

realistically double every four years. The northern Yellowstone<br />

plains bison herd was intensively managed in the early 20th<br />

century, with supplemental feed provided in<br />

winter (Meagher 1973). Numbers increased from<br />

21 in 1902 to 239 in 1915, after which bison<br />

were removed from the herd (Meagher 1973).<br />

The observed exponential rate of increase for the<br />

northern Yellowstone herd for this 14-year period<br />

was ˆr = 0.1787. The population doubling time at<br />

this rate of increase was four years.<br />

Plains bison, allowed to become free ranging<br />

in the Jackson Valley, Wyoming in 1969,<br />

experienced minimal management intervention<br />

until 1980, when these animals began utilising<br />

supplemental forage intended for elk at the<br />

NER (USFWS-NPS 2007). Limited numbers of<br />

plains bison were killed by agency personnel<br />

or licensed hunters between 1980 and 2002<br />

(USFWS-NPS 2007). Plains bison numbers have<br />

been estimated annually by staff of GTNP; S.<br />

Cain; personal communication). The observed<br />

exponential population growth rate for the 33-year<br />

period from 1969 to 2002 was 0.129 (Figure 6.4).<br />

The observed exponential rate of increase for the<br />

Jackson herd for the 14-year period from 1980 to<br />

1993, with a starting population size of 37, was ˆr<br />

= 0.1197. At these rates of increase, a population<br />

would double every six years.<br />

Figure 6.3 Growth of the National <strong>Bison</strong> Range plains<br />

bison population between 1909 and 1922 (14 years)<br />

starting with 37 bison (upper panel), and the northern<br />

Yellowstone National Park population between 1902 and<br />

1915 (14 years) starting with 21 bison (lower panel).<br />

<strong>American</strong> <strong>Bison</strong>: Status Survey and Conservation Guidelines 2010 53

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