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The FuTure oF nuclear Fuel cycle - MIT Energy Initiative

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On the other hand, the introduction date of thermal reprocessing in preparation for the<br />

deployment of fast reactors has an appreciable effect in the initial few years after the FR<br />

introduction, as can be seen for the year 2050 in Table 6.11. <strong>The</strong> effect disappears completely<br />

by 2070, and the dynamics of TRU availability takes over after that time. Thus the<br />

trajectories of the installed FR capacity are close for the two cases examined after 2060.<br />

Table 6.11 Fast Reactor’s Installed Capacity for the cCse of 2.5% Growth [GWe]<br />

thermal reproCeSSinG<br />

StartinG year <strong>Fuel</strong> CyCle by 2050 by 2100<br />

2030<br />

2035<br />

Fr cr=0.75 28 248<br />

Fr cr=1.0 32 337<br />

Fr cr=1.23 31 387<br />

Fr cr=0.75 20 259<br />

Fr cr=1.0 23 345<br />

Fr cr=1.23 21 391<br />

Sensitivity to initial core fuel requirements<br />

Since the fuel requirements for the fast reactor breeder were extrapolated from the smaller<br />

design of the ALMR, it is important to assess the effect of possible improvements (i.e. savings<br />

in fuel requirements). Two simulation cases were run for an assumed fuel-saving fast<br />

breeder reactor. <strong>The</strong> new cases with reduced fuel requirements were assumed to require<br />

only half as much as the difference between the ALMR and the CR=1 cases in the side<br />

bar on fast reactors. In the base cases described in the sidebar, a breeder reactor takes 8.64<br />

MT TRU to start as opposed to 6.31MT TRU for the CR=1 case. <strong>The</strong> total heavy metal in<br />

the startup core is 97.31 MTHM instead of 45.5 MTHM in the CR=1 case. <strong>The</strong> reduced<br />

fuel requirements assumed for the sensitivity study are: the breeder needs only 7.47 MT of<br />

TRU in the initial core and only 72 MTHM in the core and blanket. With these assumed<br />

requirements, two cases were run, one keeping the breeding ratio at 1.23, and one assuming<br />

a smaller breeding ratio of only 1.115. Table 6.12 shows the resulting installed fast reactor<br />

capacities in 2050 and 2100 for the base growth case of 2.5% per year.<br />

Table 6.12 Effect of TRU Requirements<br />

on Fast Reactor Installed Capacity For<br />

the growth case of 2.5% per year [GWe]<br />

ConverSion ratio by 2050 by 2100<br />

Fr cr=1 23 345<br />

Fr cr=1.23 21 391<br />

Fr cr=1.23* 25 477<br />

Fr cr=1.115* 25 408<br />

*Breeder cases with reduced fuel requirements<br />

It is clear from the table that by 2050 there would be little change in the installed capacity.<br />

However, by 2100 the installed capacity will increase if the core with reduced requirements<br />

was able to keep the same conversion ratio of 1.23, from 391 to 477 GWe, an increase of<br />

22%. On the other hand, if the reduced fuel requirements led to a decrease in the conver-<br />

chapter 6: analysis of <strong>Fuel</strong> <strong>cycle</strong> options 91

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