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The FuTure oF nuclear Fuel cycle - MIT Energy Initiative

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Figure 7.1 lCoes for alternative Cycles, by Component<br />

OTC TTC FRR<br />

110<br />

100<br />

FR, gross<br />

90<br />

lWr-1<br />

lWr-2<br />

LWR<br />

FR, net<br />

80<br />

lcoe (mill/kWh)<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

capital<br />

o&M<br />

Back-end <strong>Fuel</strong><br />

Front-end <strong>Fuel</strong><br />

Source: 4858 uS/aec. 69-36 nuevco eV, 87-Present uv u308v<br />

notes: <strong>The</strong> graph displays the lcoe figures from Tables 7.2, 7.3 and 7.4. <strong>The</strong> first bar shows the lcoe, by component, for the once-<br />

Through <strong>cycle</strong>. <strong>The</strong> second and third bars show the two lcoes for the Twice-Through <strong>cycle</strong>: the left-hand bar is the lcoe for the first<br />

pass reactor, while the right-hand bar is the lcoe for the second pass reactor. <strong>The</strong> fourth, fifth and sixth bars show the lcoes for the<br />

Fast reactor re<strong>cycle</strong>: the left-hand bar is the lcoe for the light water reactor, while the center and right-hand bar show the lcoe for<br />

a fast reactor. <strong>The</strong> total fuel <strong>cycle</strong> cost for the fast reactor is negative, so that the total lcoe is less than the sum of the reactor capital<br />

and o&M costs. <strong>The</strong> center bar shows the total or net cost. <strong>The</strong> right-hand bar shows each cost component, with the capital, o&M<br />

and back-end fuel <strong>cycle</strong> costs being positive and the front-end fuel <strong>cycle</strong> cost being negative.<br />

a 3% increase in cost. <strong>The</strong> small size of this difference shows up even more clearly in the<br />

graphical display of the costs in Figure 7.1. Thus, if a given <strong>cycle</strong> has important non-economic<br />

advantages, then these can be purchased at a reasonable cost.<br />

<strong>The</strong> cost increase is small because fuel <strong>cycle</strong> costs are a small part of the overall total cost of<br />

electricity. <strong>The</strong> incremental cost compared to just the fuel <strong>cycle</strong> costs of the Once-Through<br />

Cycle—front- and back-end—would represent a 33% increase. Compared to just the backend<br />

of the fuel <strong>cycle</strong> costs of the Once-Through Cycle, the incremental cost would represent<br />

a 212% increase.<br />

<strong>The</strong> importance of the cost of reprocessing shows up clearly in a comparison of Tables 7.2<br />

and 7.3. In the Once-Through Cycle, the cost of disposal of the spent UOX fuel is 1.30 mill/<br />

kWh. If, instead, the fuel is to be re<strong>cycle</strong>d, the cost of reprocessing is already 2.36 mill/<br />

kWh. This is before accounting for the cost of disposing of the separated high level waste<br />

and the credits or charges for the separated uranium and plutonium. This is almost double<br />

the cost of direct disposal. It is easy to see that it would be hard for this cost difference to be<br />

made up for by the savings on raw uranium needed for the second reactor: the total cost of<br />

uranium for fresh UOX is only 2.76 mill/kWh. On top of this, the cost of fabricating MOX<br />

fuel are much, much higher than the cost of fabricating fresh UOX fuel. Finally, the much<br />

chapter 7: economics 107

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