Abstracts available here - Society for Conservation Biology
Abstracts available here - Society for Conservation Biology
Abstracts available here - Society for Conservation Biology
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25th International Congress <strong>for</strong> <strong>Conservation</strong> <strong>Biology</strong> • Auckland, New Zealand • 5-9 December 2011<br />
this paper we show how risk and uncertainty can be accommodated in<br />
making optimal spatial conservation decisions. We illustrate these ideas<br />
with examples of conservation plans that deal with: uncertainty about<br />
cost, uncertainty driven by expert opinion or imprecise statistical models,<br />
uncertainty driven by climate change and risk driven by catastrophic<br />
events. We show how risk aversion can be readily accommodated in the<br />
prioritization process using mathematical concepts and modifications to the<br />
software, Marxan.<br />
2011-12-06 15:15 Phylogeography of the brachyotis group of rockwallabies<br />
identifies two regions to focus conservation management in<br />
northern Australia<br />
Potter, S*, The University of Adelaide; Eldridge, MDB, Australian<br />
Museum; Taggart, DA, <strong>Conservation</strong> Ark, Royal Zoological <strong>Society</strong> of<br />
South Australia; Cooper, SJB, South Australian Museum;<br />
Northern Australia in recent times has been exposed to human impacts<br />
including increased fire frequency and intensity, introduction of the<br />
cane toad, mining, cattle grazing and introduction of feral animals. Such<br />
issues have cause <strong>for</strong> concern, with declines in the faunal species and<br />
their distributions. A major challenge <strong>for</strong> implementation of conservation<br />
management is understanding the biogeographical processes that have<br />
lead to current distributions of genetic diversity without knowledge of<br />
past climatic and environmental fluctuations. Utilization of molecular<br />
data to answer phylogeographical questions <strong>for</strong> taxa has been a major<br />
development in tackling some of these difficult questions. Here, we used<br />
the brachyotis group of rock-wallabies to assess the historical evolutionary<br />
and biogeographical processes in northern Australia. Multiple biogeographic<br />
barriers across the monsoonal tropics were identified from sequencing<br />
three mitochondrial and two nuclear loci. Our results have identified two<br />
main regions of past refugia which require focus <strong>for</strong> future conservation<br />
management across this biodiversity hotspot within Australia. In addition,<br />
other minor barriers were identified w<strong>here</strong> localized management could be<br />
put in place. These results, when compared to previous knowledge, indicate<br />
a shared biogeographical history amongst diverse taxa and significant regions<br />
<strong>for</strong> future biodiversity conservation.<br />
2011-12-08 18:30 Genetic Status of 2 Isolated Populations Following a<br />
96% Population Decline<br />
Powell, Christopher P*, Central Michigan University; Nelson,<br />
Eric, Minnesota Department of Natural Resources; Swanson, Bradley<br />
J, Central Michigan University;<br />
Sharp-tailed Grouse have declined precipitously throughout their range in<br />
the mid-western USA. The species is almost extirpated in Wisconsin and<br />
Michigan. Between 1980 and 1995 the Sharp-tailed Grouse in Minnesota<br />
declined 95% (n=60,000 to n=2,500) and exists in geographically isolated<br />
eastern and western populations. This type of dramatic decline can increase<br />
inbreeding and threaten the longevity and adaptability of a population.<br />
Using 6 microsatellite loci we evaluated the genetic status of the Sharptailed<br />
Grouse following their recent bottleneck. We found genetic evidence<br />
<strong>for</strong> only 1 population in Minnesota. FIS is significantly higher (W=21,<br />
p=0.03) in the smaller eastern population (0.29) than in the larger western<br />
population (0.04). Observed heterozygosity was high <strong>for</strong> both populations<br />
(east=0.58, west=0.73) and the west was significantly higher than the<br />
east (W=0, p=0.03). The program Bottleneck indicated that a bottleneck<br />
occurred in the eastern population (p=0.007) but not the western (p=0.05)<br />
despite retaining an L-shaped distribution of allele frequency. Our results<br />
suggest that the populations have not yet differentiated but likely face<br />
genetic difficulties in the near future. We recommend surveys of suitable<br />
habitat between populations to assess whether or not individuals are moving.<br />
If no movement is found, we recommend reciprocal translocations between<br />
populations to prevent differentiation and reduce inbreeding levels.<br />
2011-12-06 11:15 Effect of Forest Age and Burn History on the Recovery<br />
of Avian Capture Rates: When is Secondary Tropical Rain<strong>for</strong>est No<br />
Longer a Barrier?<br />
Powell, LL*, School of Renewable Resources, Louisiana State<br />
University; Stouffer, PC, School of Renewable Resources, Louisiana<br />
State University; Johnson, EI, School of Renewable Resources,<br />
Louisiana State University;<br />
Due to large-scale regeneration following de<strong>for</strong>estation, Brazil now has<br />
more secondary growth than all other tropical countries combined, yet the<br />
value of this secondary growth to wildlife remains poorly understood. From<br />
1992—2009, we captured 3534 birds of nine <strong>for</strong>aging guilds along borders<br />
of 1—100 ha rain<strong>for</strong>est fragments near Manaus, Brazil, with the goal of<br />
understanding how birds in the secondary growth/fragment interface recover<br />
to pre-isolation capture rates (CRs). Along 0—4 year-old borders, CRs of<br />
army ant-followers and terrestrial insectivores were only 1% of pre-isolation<br />
levels. Hummingbirds and non-<strong>for</strong>est species, however, were caught more<br />
frequently within four years of cutting; CRs then declined to pre-isolation<br />
at 7.0 (+ 6.3, −2.4 SE) and 13.0 years (+5.9, −3.6 SE), respectively. Among<br />
the most sensitive guilds, obligate mixed-flock species recovered quicker<br />
along borders of larger fragments—6.4 (+14.0, −10.7 SE) years adjacent to<br />
100-ha fragments and 33.0 (+11.0, −8.4 SE) years around 1-ha fragments.<br />
After 27 years of <strong>for</strong>est regeneration at our study site, terrestrial insectivores<br />
have yet to recover—we estimate recovery at 46.9 (+20.4, −20.7 SE) years<br />
with cutting only, and 54.9 (+45.7, −20.4 SE) years with borders cut and<br />
burned. Only 20 years after borders were cut and burned, eight of nine<br />
guilds recovered to pre-isolation CRs, but terrestrial insectivores and<br />
other species not included in this analysis (because they do not occur at<br />
all in <strong>for</strong>est fragments) probably take decades longer. The largely unbroken<br />
primary rain<strong>for</strong>est surrounding our study site provides a steady source of<br />
new colonizers, so we consider these estimates conservative (i.e. optimistic)<br />
relative to more fragmented parts of Amazonia.<br />
2011-12-06 11:00 Implications of process-based modelling <strong>for</strong><br />
biodiversity conservation in a changing world<br />
Prentice, IC*, Macquarie University and Imperial College;<br />
Modelling assumptions are important in assessing risks to biodiversity<br />
and framing conservation policies. Two findings of the past decade are (a)<br />
alarming projections of species losses, and (b) that species are already on the<br />
move. The first is a pure model result—an untested hypothesis. The second<br />
is an observation that tends to refute it. Natural climate changes, similar<br />
in magnitude and rate to projected anthropogenic changes, have occurred<br />
repeatedly and species’ geographic ranges responded rapidly. Many species<br />
showed unexpected persistence through millennia of unfavourable climate.<br />
Models must allow <strong>for</strong> rapid migration (even <strong>for</strong> sessile organisms) and the<br />
role of environmental heterogeneity in species’ survival. Dynamic global<br />
vegetation models (DGVMs) could make predictions testable against the<br />
palaeoecological record. They could explicitly model e.g. range restrictions by<br />
exceedance of drought or heat thresholds, or range extensions by overcoming<br />
cold limits. They also include effects of atmospheric CO2 concentration on<br />
water use and productivity. But current DGVMs were developed <strong>for</strong> carbon<br />
and water cycle applications. Their simplistic treatments of plant biodiversity<br />
and habitat heterogeneity severely limit their applications to conservation<br />
science. More realistic treatments on the horizon build on major in<strong>for</strong>matics<br />
ef<strong>for</strong>ts. Meanwhile, hybrid approaches that combine species distribution<br />
data with modelling of impact processes may be useful.<br />
2011-12-06 10:30 The plan of the day: managing the dynamic transition<br />
from regional-scale conservation design to local-scale conservation<br />
action<br />
Pressey, R.L.*, James Cook University; Mills, M., James Cook<br />
University; Weeks, R., Wildlife <strong>Conservation</strong> <strong>Society</strong>;<br />
Systematic conservation planning involves sequential transitions. Late in the<br />
process, conservation areas on paper or computer screens must be turned into<br />
actions on the ground or in the water. This transition has been difficult <strong>for</strong><br />
conservation planners, demanding reconciliation of two scales of decisionmaking<br />
and even two world views. Like all transitions, the one from regional<br />
design to local action should be dynamic. Adjustments to designs will be<br />
necessary as new in<strong>for</strong>mation emerges from the action stage, in turn altering<br />
areas of interest <strong>for</strong> action; but coverage of this dynamic feedback in the<br />
literature is remarkably rare and brief. Lacking is a comprehensive discussion<br />
of why and under what circumstances the dynamic transition from design to<br />
action is necessary. Also lacking are guidelines <strong>for</strong> managing this transition<br />
in practice. The premise of this presentation is that conservation planning<br />
will be more effective if regional-scale design and local-scale action are better<br />
integrated to capitalize on their respective strengths and minimize their<br />
respective weaknesses. We review the reasons why designs must change in<br />
anticipation of action or as action proceeds, and how these reasons play<br />
out differently depending on the purpose and constraints of different<br />
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