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Distributed Renewable Energy Operating Impacts and Valuation Study

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Developing a Winning Business Case for Solar DE Deployment<br />

that offer no advantage in solar DE promotion, <strong>and</strong> may actually diminish acceptance. Policy<br />

transition <strong>and</strong> resulting changes in zoning <strong>and</strong> permitting could benefit or hinder the winning<br />

business case.<br />

Institutional Support<br />

In some jurisdictions, homes with superior energy efficiency are awarded lower mortgage rates<br />

because the homeowner will be paying lower utility bills <strong>and</strong>, therefore, will theoretically have<br />

additional cash flow to make mortgage payments. Facilitating this change in Arizona will require<br />

working with banks <strong>and</strong> other lenders in proving the efficiency of the solar DE systems.<br />

Concurrently, the current appraisal community needs to be educated as to the value of a solar DE<br />

system in order to be able to conduct accurate assessments of a home or business value. There is<br />

a need to ensure that the appraisers underst<strong>and</strong> solar DE systems are a positive, not negative,<br />

improvement to the home. Increased home values due to the inclusion of solar PV or SHW will<br />

tie to the banking community’s underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> willingness to support larger, <strong>and</strong>/or lower<br />

cost, loans.<br />

New Business Model<br />

During the course of the <strong>Study</strong>, the stakeholders confirmed many market changes underway in<br />

business models <strong>and</strong> approaches. For example, third party equipment leasing <strong>and</strong> ownership is<br />

becoming more common for commercial installations <strong>and</strong> may become the norm. This change in<br />

business model may be replicated in an effort to address any of the three prerequisites for the<br />

winning business case, namely the market, the technology, <strong>and</strong> the financing. By way of<br />

example, Southern California Edison developed a new business model to meet its distribution<br />

transformer needs. Instead of relying on traditional market purchases, it entered into the<br />

international transformer supply chain to facilitate the raw materials acquisition <strong>and</strong> fabrication<br />

of over one million distribution transformers to meet its system rehabilitation efforts.<br />

APS may consider a new business model in which it directly provides services that help promote<br />

solar DE market development. These could include such services as financial programs,<br />

technology development, <strong>and</strong> supply partnerships, as well as design, billing <strong>and</strong> field support for<br />

the installation of solar DE rooftop units in conjunction with the marketplace.<br />

6.6.4 Installation Challenges <strong>and</strong> Opportunities<br />

Alignment of solar deployment with a winning business case <strong>and</strong> successful market drivers will<br />

require a significant expansion of solar installation capabilities. Current installation capacity may<br />

be in line with current dem<strong>and</strong>, but assuming increases from successful marketing programs,<br />

rebate opportunities <strong>and</strong> customer pull, additional resources will be required.<br />

Hitting the RES goals will require the installation of between approximately 18,000 <strong>and</strong> 400,000<br />

solar DE systems between 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2025. This represents a large increase in the number of<br />

installers in order to take advantage of the dem<strong>and</strong>. In turn, this will require significant<br />

investments in training <strong>and</strong> education. Currently, the installation community in the APS territory<br />

is between 10 <strong>and</strong> 40 installers, each with a maximum capacity of 1 to 2 systems per day. This<br />

will undoubtedly grow over time as dem<strong>and</strong> rises, but the challenge is to pace the dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

the addition of new installation resources.<br />

<strong>Distributed</strong> <strong>Renewable</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Impacts</strong> & <strong>Valuation</strong> <strong>Study</strong> R. W. Beck, Inc. 6-21

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