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Distributed Renewable Energy Operating Impacts and Valuation Study

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Solar Characterization<br />

Table 2-12<br />

SHW 2007 Technical Potential<br />

Total Single-Family Homes 600,433<br />

Fraction of Homes with Electric Water Heating 42%<br />

Single-Family Homes with Electric Water Heating 252,182<br />

Roof Area Needed for SHW (sq.ft./house) 49.2<br />

Fraction of Homes where SHW is Applicable 80%<br />

Total Roof Area Needed for SHW (million sq.ft.) 9.9<br />

Fraction of Total Available Roof Area 3.8%<br />

Savings per Unit (kWh) 2,105<br />

Total Technical Potential (MWh) 424,674<br />

Technical Potential - Commercial Sector<br />

The key inputs used to analyze the technical potential for the commercial sector were the<br />

estimated number of buildings per sector <strong>and</strong> square feet of roof space per building. These were<br />

derived from the following data sources:<br />

• APS <strong>Energy</strong> Efficiency Baseline <strong>Study</strong> 29<br />

• DOE Commercial Buildings <strong>Energy</strong> Consumption Survey (CBECS) data 30<br />

• APS Commercial End Use <strong>Study</strong> (EUDAP) 31<br />

The commercial demographic results are shown below in Table 2-13.<br />

Table 2-13<br />

Commercial Demographics<br />

Avg Bldg<br />

Size<br />

(EUDAP/<br />

CBECS)<br />

% of<br />

Bldg sf<br />

as Roof<br />

Space<br />

Roof<br />

Space per<br />

Bldg<br />

(sf)<br />

<strong>Energy</strong><br />

Use<br />

kWh/sf<br />

(EUDAP)<br />

% Total<br />

APS<br />

System<br />

MWh<br />

(Baseline)<br />

Total MWh<br />

per sector<br />

MWh/<br />

Avg Bldg<br />

Number<br />

of<br />

Buildings<br />

Bldg<br />

Dem<strong>and</strong><br />

(W/sf)<br />

Education 80,902 77% 62,317 14.9 11.1% 1,718,072 1,206 1,424 3.6<br />

Small Office 4,000 51% 2,039 15.2 9.8% 1,516,856 61 24,965 4.6<br />

Large Office 140,000 51% 71,359 27.0 14.2% 2,197,894 3,773 583 6.0<br />

Small Retail 2,500 85% 2,135 11.7 6.0% 928,687 29 31,750 4.6<br />

Large Retail 36,500 85% 31,177 19.7 13.4% 2,074,069 718 2,889 4.7<br />

Large Grocery 41,600 85% 35,533 51.2 5.2% 804,862 2,129 378 8.0<br />

Other 94,554 81% 76,410 30.0 22.3% 3,451,622 2,837 1,217 5.3<br />

Industrial 41,000 87% 35,750 21.6 18.0% 2,786,062 887 3,140 5.7<br />

29 ICF International, APS <strong>Energy</strong> Efficiency Baseline <strong>Study</strong>, prepared for Arizona Public Service, March 2007.<br />

30 http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cbecs/contents.html. 2003 data.<br />

31 Quantum Consulting, Inc., APS End-Use Data Acquisition Project (EUDAP), November 1997.<br />

<strong>Distributed</strong> <strong>Renewable</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Impacts</strong> & <strong>Valuation</strong> <strong>Study</strong> R. W. Beck, Inc. 2-35

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