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Metrobus Transit Study.pdf - City of St. John's

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<strong>St</strong>. John’s Transportation Commission (<strong>Metrobus</strong>) 2011<br />

Market Assessment and <strong>St</strong>rategic Directions <strong><strong>St</strong>udy</strong> – Part B: The Past and Present – Understanding Ridership Trends<br />

5.0 INTERNAL FACTORS<br />

A number <strong>of</strong> internal factors were assessed to determine their influence on the reported ridership<br />

decline. Internal factors can be described as those that are largely within the control <strong>of</strong> <strong>Metrobus</strong><br />

and that influence passengers’ ability or desire to use the service.<br />

While there are areas within the existing service that could be improved to influence ridership<br />

growth, this section <strong>of</strong> the report only addresses areas that may have led to a decline. For example,<br />

Section 5.1.4 identifies design issues with the transit terminals at Avalon Mall and Village Shopping<br />

Centre, particularly for an aging population. Since these terminals have functioned in this way for a<br />

number <strong>of</strong> years, they are not considered contributing causes <strong>of</strong> the reported ridership decline.<br />

The two major internal changes that occurred in the system around the time <strong>of</strong> the ridership decline<br />

are:<br />

1. 2007 Service Changes; and<br />

2. Introduction <strong>of</strong> the M-Card.<br />

5.1 2007 Service Changes<br />

In 2007, <strong>Metrobus</strong> implemented a number <strong>of</strong> changes to the service based on recommendations<br />

from a <strong>Metrobus</strong>’ 5-year <strong>Transit</strong> Service Plan. While routing, service level and schedule adjustments<br />

may be needed to reflect change in land use, activity generators, demographics, travel patterns, and<br />

budget availability, transit users generally do not like to experience changes in service. Passengers’<br />

commuting habits and schedule <strong>of</strong> activities <strong>of</strong>ten depend on the transit service hours and frequency<br />

<strong>of</strong> operation on specific routes. When these factors are changed, passengers are forced to change<br />

their daily habits. Overall, the long term effects <strong>of</strong> service changes may be positive, but in the short<br />

term passengers tend to be opposed to them. The specific service changes that occurred in 2007 are<br />

outlined in Section 5.1.4.<br />

Three years have passed since the service was modified. This time period is generally sufficient for<br />

existing passengers to get used to service changes and new passengers to understand the service<br />

change and try the service where applicable. However, reported ridership has continued to decline.<br />

One <strong>of</strong> the key questions <strong>of</strong> this study was whether or not the ridership decline was a direct result <strong>of</strong><br />

the 2007 service change. It is important to note that this ridership decline began between 2006 and<br />

2007, before the service change. Nonetheless, the service change was put in place to help increase<br />

ridership, and this result apparently was not achieved.<br />

The study team probed this question in more detail through a number <strong>of</strong> different methods. This<br />

included:<br />

1. An on-board passenger survey;<br />

2. An online community survey; and<br />

3. A focus group <strong>of</strong> passengers that had used the service before and after the service change.<br />

5.1.1 On-board Passenger Survey<br />

The onboard passenger survey, queried passengers on their opinions about the 2007 service changes<br />

and their use <strong>of</strong> <strong>Metrobus</strong> services since the changes. Of the 960 responses received for that<br />

Dillon Consulting Limited Page 21

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