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Metrobus Transit Study.pdf - City of St. John's

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<strong>St</strong>. John’s Transportation Commission (<strong>Metrobus</strong>) 2011<br />

Market Assessment and <strong>St</strong>rategic Directions <strong><strong>St</strong>udy</strong> – Part D: <strong>St</strong>rategic Directions<br />

frequency changes typically have a service elasticity <strong>of</strong> between +0.3 to +0.5. This means that a<br />

doubling <strong>of</strong> service frequency (i.e. from 1 bus an hour to 2 buses an hour) would increase ridership<br />

on that route by 30 to 50 percent. When frequency improvements occur on previously infrequent<br />

service (i.e. hourly service to half-hour service), ridership impacts are typically greater than when the<br />

same percentage change occurs in a service that is already frequent (i.e. 10 minute service to 5<br />

minute service). If the area being served has very low population density then alternative techniques<br />

to scheduled fixed route service should be considered (see Section 13.0).<br />

While level <strong>of</strong> service improvements can have impacts on overall municipal subsidy, improving the<br />

level <strong>of</strong> service is key to responding to the external pressures facing <strong>Metrobus</strong>. To increase ridership<br />

growth, <strong>Metrobus</strong> must be more than about providing accessibility for those in need, but must also<br />

be convenient and attractive for those who have a transportation choice. A realistic goal is not to<br />

replace the private vehicle, but to reduce the number <strong>of</strong> vehicles required in a typical household (i.e.<br />

move from a three car household to a two car household) by developing an acceptable transit<br />

alternative.<br />

It is recommended that service frequencies not be greater than 30 minutes during weekday peak<br />

periods and during the midday <strong>of</strong>f-peak on all routes. This would entail an update <strong>of</strong> existing<br />

service standards and a significant increase in service on all Secondary Routes, which operate at a 60<br />

minute peak frequency.<br />

Financial implications <strong>of</strong> this level <strong>of</strong> investment could be mitigated through an increase in<br />

passenger revenue (due to ridership increase and/or fare adjustment), the introduction <strong>of</strong> a U-Pass<br />

or the provision <strong>of</strong> a more cost effective service delivery strategy for low demand areas which still<br />

meets the basic service standard.<br />

While, weekend service hours are generally comparable with systems <strong>of</strong> similar size, most routes<br />

only run on a 60 minute frequency. A 60 minute service frequency is not conducive to attracting<br />

ridership even on weekends/holidays. A recent study completed for Guelph <strong>Transit</strong> (in <strong>Metrobus</strong>’<br />

peer group) recommended 30 minute weekend/holiday frequencies. Another alternative would be a<br />

TransCab or Zone Bus <strong>St</strong>rategy, outlined in Section 13.0.<br />

Recommendations<br />

1. <strong>Metrobus</strong> should develop a strategy to improve frequencies to 30 minutes for weekday<br />

peak periods and during the midday <strong>of</strong>f-peak on all routes; and<br />

2. Where peak period service does not warrant 30 minute fixed route service, <strong>Metrobus</strong><br />

should consider the implementation <strong>of</strong> alternative service strategies such as TransCab or<br />

Zone Bus to achieve the 30 minute frequency standard at a lower cost.<br />

10.5 Service to Post Secondary Institutions<br />

One effective service strategy to significantly increase ridership is to expand the level <strong>of</strong> service<br />

provided to post-secondary institutions. Both Memorial University and CNA have a large potential<br />

transit market that can be capitalized on by improving service levels and better addressing demand.<br />

A key strategy to effectively accommodate an increase in service levels is by influencing transit<br />

demand through a Universal Pass (U-Pass) program. A U-Pass program provides all enrolled<br />

students with a transit pass included as part <strong>of</strong> their tuition; and therefore the revenue required to<br />

significantly increase service levels targeted towards this market.<br />

Dillon Consulting Limited Page 67

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