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Kingscote Airport Business Case - Kangaroo Island Council - SA ...

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<strong>Kangaroo</strong> <strong>Island</strong> <strong>Airport</strong> Upgrade <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Case</strong><br />

10.2 Risks to be dealt with if the project does not proceed<br />

There is a risk to the <strong>Kangaroo</strong> <strong>Island</strong> community if the project does not proceed.<br />

Without access to an appropriate airport facility, RPT air access may eventually be<br />

withdrawn, further isolating the community from the rest of the state.<br />

The existing facilities may deteriorate and negatively impact on services for the <strong>Island</strong>.<br />

In the event of the upgrade not taking place, it is possible that the aircraft that would<br />

replace the <strong>SA</strong>AB 340 would be smaller (in the 20 seat range). Whilst this would likely<br />

result in a more frequent service the aircraft service will suffer due to its inability to link<br />

to international flights and marketing and support the luggage requirements of such<br />

travellers. The shift to a smaller aircraft could also see a shift from Adelaide airport,<br />

where interstate and international flights depart and land, to a smaller airport such as<br />

Parafield airport reducing the convenience and increasing cost in Adelaide for<br />

Community and visitors alike.<br />

The impact on the social and economic outcomes of the <strong>Island</strong> will be significantly<br />

negative if the airport upgrade does not proceed. Whilst difficult to quantify exactly the<br />

level of social disadvantage if an upgrade was not to go ahead it would be significant<br />

due to the community being an <strong>Island</strong>. Economic activity foregone could include:<br />

• GRP in the order of $1.4 million and 17 FTE from the construction phase of the<br />

airport upgrade;<br />

• GRP in the order of $631,000 annually and 9 FTE from the operational impacts of<br />

the airport; and<br />

• Unrealised GRP and FTE due to constrained tourism growth. GRP of between<br />

$12M–$49M and FTE numbers of between 107-382 may be foregone if the<br />

undeveloped airport impacts on the tourism growth scenarios modelled by<br />

EconSearch.<br />

If there is an interruption to air services in the future, the <strong>Council</strong> has communication<br />

channels through to state Government to assist in the development of alternative air<br />

services providers, and through assistance from KIFA and the <strong>SA</strong>EDB, has access to a<br />

range of government connections which will assist in whatever is possible to reestablish<br />

the services to some form, but this is unlikely to achieve the volumes that<br />

would deliver on the broader economic developments in the region and the state.<br />

May 2013<br />

73

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