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Integrated and Modular Systems for Commercial ... - Nonstop Systems

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17<br />

Given:<br />

Extrapolation ......<br />

• 777 processing power ≈ equivalent to<br />

1,000 x 486<br />

Assuming:<br />

• Moore’s Law (2x every 18 months)<br />

Hence:<br />

• “single-processor” 777 within 15 years....<br />

“Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons”<br />

Popular Mechanics magazine, 1949<br />

- <strong>for</strong>ecasting the wonders of modern technology -<br />

ref.: Gordon Moore, 1966, on per<strong>for</strong>mance, complexity, <strong>and</strong> number of transistors per<br />

13<br />

©1997 F.M.G. Dörenberg

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