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beyondukraine.euandrussiainsearchofanewrelation

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46 Beyond Ukraine. EU and Russia in Search of a New Relation<br />

comprehensive clarification of the former Soviet space’s<br />

collocation within the European security order, giving NATO-<br />

Russia relations a schizophrenic character. Although the descent<br />

into a new Cold War is not a foregone conclusion, the current<br />

crisis proves that, without a solution to this fundamental issue, the<br />

alliance and Moscow might continue to drift apart. While the<br />

European Union appears unable to play any meaningful role in the<br />

current strategic setting, the alliance retains a powerful incentive<br />

to rediscover the mantra of the 1967 Harmel Report and to engage<br />

Moscow in comprehensive negotiations about a shattered post-<br />

Cold War security architecture.<br />

The roots of NATO-Russia grievances (1989-1991)<br />

Relations between NATO and Russia plummeted in the aftermath<br />

of the 2013 Euromaidan revolution in Kiev with the Russian<br />

Federation rapidly securing control of Crimea and a violent armed<br />

conflict between Russian-backed separatists and the new<br />

Ukrainian government erupting in the mineral-rich Donbass<br />

region. Although after the collapse of the first Minsk protocol of<br />

September 2014, the second Minsk agreement of February 2015<br />

temporarily succeeded in bringing hostilities in Eastern Ukraine to<br />

an end, Moscow’s annexation of Crimea in March 2014 and<br />

increasing support for separatist forces in the Donetsk and<br />

Luhansk People’s Republics during the spring and the summer<br />

confirmed that the former Soviet space’s collocation in the<br />

European political order has become a fundamental source of<br />

contention between the alliance and the Kremlin to enforce<br />

conflicting strategic visions on issues that were left unresolved<br />

after the demise of the East-West division. More specifically,<br />

these events are the latest manifestations of an underlying tension<br />

which first erupted in the early 2000s, when a wave of protests in<br />

Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan, together with Washington’s<br />

calls for NATO’s ongoing enlargement to the former Soviet space,<br />

were viewed in Moscow as a betrayal of commitments that the<br />

West had undertaken in 1989-1990.

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