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construction and refurbishment of earthen irrigation channel banks

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in some cases to compare all the options over a 100-year period, where thediscounted residual value becomes almost insignificant.The evaluation period is divided into time intervals, usually in increments <strong>of</strong> a year.13.4.4 Choose an Analysis TechniqueThe analysis technique used should be a st<strong>and</strong>ard discounted cash flow, which takesinto consideration the time value <strong>of</strong> money. Discounted cash flow analysis is amethod <strong>of</strong> valuing <strong>and</strong> therefore comparing a range <strong>of</strong> different cash flows. Thediscounted cash flow analysis results in estimates <strong>of</strong> the present value <strong>of</strong> the sum <strong>of</strong>initial <strong>and</strong> future costs over the selected evaluation period. The analysis requiresthat all future costs are quantified <strong>and</strong> identified with a time period, <strong>and</strong> thenadjusted to current year dollars to enable comparison.Cash inflows <strong>and</strong> cash outflows represent benefits <strong>and</strong> costs, <strong>and</strong> the present value<strong>of</strong> all the inflows <strong>and</strong> outflows is the Net Present Value. In life-cycle analysis, thecash inflows or benefits are not included <strong>and</strong> the present value <strong>of</strong> costs representsthe cash outflows only. The option with the lowest present value for an equalevaluation period is considered the most appropriate option economically.Further details <strong>of</strong> the economic theory <strong>of</strong> present <strong>and</strong> future values should be soughtfrom appropriate texts on the subject.Two well known methods used in the water industry for project evaluation arePresent Value (PVC), for comparing items with similar life expectancies, <strong>and</strong>Equivalent Annual Cost (EAC) for assets with dissimilar life expectancies.Analysis by PVC - PVC is considered the most comprehensive <strong>and</strong> effectivemethod. It converts all future cash amounts into current-year dollars using aappropriate discount rate. Once this is done a comparison <strong>of</strong> the options can bemade as long as the life spans are the same.Analysis by EAC - Items with different life spans can be compared using EAC. TheEAC is the PVC averaged over the expected life <strong>of</strong> each option to give anequivalent annual value. One advantage <strong>of</strong> using annual equivalents is that costscan be discussed using much smaller <strong>and</strong> manageable numbers than would be thecase if present values were used.However, the economic validity <strong>of</strong> an option is not established by these analyses.They distinguish the least cost option. Economic validity can only be establishedby considering the benefits <strong>and</strong> costs <strong>of</strong> an option.To identify <strong>and</strong> better underst<strong>and</strong> the costs associated with an asset, it is a goodpractice to present the analysis in a spreadsheet format, identifying all the costelements in the rows or alternatively the columns. The costs associated with theelements can be entered for each year in the relevant columns or rows.Life cycle cost analysis can require a volume <strong>of</strong> data <strong>and</strong> degree <strong>of</strong> precision, whichis difficult to manage using manual means. For large, complex projects, a manualapproach to analysis is simply not practical <strong>and</strong> a s<strong>of</strong>tware-based model is required.Spreadsheet programs such as Excel, Quattro Pro <strong>and</strong> Lotus have NPV as functionsthat can be used to simplify the process.Construction <strong>and</strong> Refurbishment <strong>of</strong> Earthen Channel Banks August 2002 - Edition 1.0 13-11

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