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NSERC grants at Laurentian University Subventions du CRSNG `a l ...

NSERC grants at Laurentian University Subventions du CRSNG `a l ...

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25Madhur AnandDisturbance dynamics and ecological complexity: empirical,theoretical and modeling approachesA grant of $15,000 per year.Une subvention de 15 000 $ par année.Discovery Grant – Subvention à la découverteThe current pace of global change and the re<strong>du</strong>ctionin biodiversity demand conceptual and methodologicaltools to measure the effects of disturbanceon ecological complexity and integrity.My research program integr<strong>at</strong>es complex systemsmodeling with st<strong>at</strong>istical ecology, restor<strong>at</strong>ion andconserv<strong>at</strong>ion ecology, and global change researchwith a long-term goal of formul<strong>at</strong>ing a general theory of disturbance andits role in the dynamics of ecological complexity. Contrary to popular belief,complex ecological systems do not always behave unpredictably. Theyare actually integr<strong>at</strong>ed structures displaying robust p<strong>at</strong>terns suggestive ofuniversal principles of organiz<strong>at</strong>ion. My research aims to find these universalprinciples, but unlike previous studies, mine will examine the effect ofdisturbances on these structures, because I believe th<strong>at</strong> ecological responseto disturbance is not continuous, but can undergo abrupt regime change.I will study n<strong>at</strong>ural (e.g., gap form<strong>at</strong>ion, fire) and man-made disturbances(pollution, logging) both in the field in Canada, the United St<strong>at</strong>es, Finlandand Brazil, and through theoretical and modeling approaches. In doing so, Iwill pro<strong>du</strong>ce better conceptual and predictive models of complex forest dynamics.This will lead to a better understanding of n<strong>at</strong>ural and man-madeecosystems and our ability to prevent and/or mitig<strong>at</strong>e ecological disasters.

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