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xoEPC - Jan Mendling

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1.3. Epistemological Position 11<br />

cess modeling languages, predicate logic, formal semantics, graph theory, software<br />

measurement, and logistic regression.<br />

Guideline 6: Design as a Search Process Problem solving in design science can be de-<br />

fined as utilizing suitable means to reach desired ends while respecting laws im-<br />

posed by the environment [Sim96]. Suitable means in this context refer to an avail-<br />

able operation that can be used to build a solution, ends represent goals and con-<br />

straints, and laws capture forces of the environment that cannot be controlled. The<br />

wickedness of the design-science problem implies that means, ends, and laws can-<br />

not be represented on the level of completeness and precision that would be needed<br />

for an optimization problem. The problem of finding predictors for error probabil-<br />

ity in business process models exactly displays this wickedness. In this thesis, we<br />

seek to establish a satisficing solution in the terms of Simon, based on a set of busi-<br />

ness process model metrics and on a notion of correctness called EPC soundness.<br />

In this setting, it is crucial to demonstrate that a certain solution does work, even if<br />

it is not yet completely understood why it works (cf. [HMPR04]). Using a logistic<br />

regression approach, we are not only able to show that this set of metrics does suit<br />

for predicting errors, but also that the hypothetical direction of the impact can be<br />

validated and that it outperforms existing approaches.<br />

Guideline 7: Communication of Research The design solution has to be presented to<br />

both the academic community and to practitioners who might be interested in the<br />

findings [HMPR04]. For the research community, communication extends the<br />

knowledge base and offers repetition of research in order to check for correctness.<br />

Working on this thesis has led to the publication of five journal articles, five book<br />

chapters, 49 workshop and conference papers, and 19 technical reports and popular<br />

publications. This means that several concepts of this thesis are already publicly<br />

available as part of the information systems knowledge base.<br />

Relating this thesis to the information systems research guidelines highlights that it suf-<br />

fices international research standards in this discipline and that it enhances its knowledge<br />

base in several directions.

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