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THE CARBON WAR

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I am here in learning mode 69<br />

The discussion with Accenture’s finest goes on for hours, as the fine wine<br />

flows. Many of the brilliant young minds there may not be advising renewables<br />

companies, but they clearly wish they were.<br />

I have one more glass of wine than I normally would. I am quietly celebrating.<br />

Caroline Lucas has been cleared of her anti-fracking protest charges.<br />

A judge has decided that by sitting down in an unused road outside the gates of<br />

a shut down drilling site, registering a peaceful protest, she was acting within<br />

the law.<br />

City of London, 8 th May 2014<br />

The launch of Carbon Tracker’s oil report. Anthony Hobley’s old employer has<br />

made available its lecture theatre, and it is packed with fund managers, analysts,<br />

and financial journalists.<br />

Christiana Figueres has come to support us again by opening the event.<br />

The executive secretary of the climate talks was in London yesterday to give a<br />

talk on climate change in St Paul’s Cathedral. The latest constituency she is targeting<br />

in her effort to build support for a meaningful Paris treaty is the churches.<br />

Carbon Tracker has has set the tone of public discourse with its unburnable<br />

carbon analysis, she says. Please listen very hard to what they have to<br />

say today.<br />

Today the Carbon Tracker team member taking centre stage is Mark<br />

Fulton. For months now the former head of research at Citi and James Leaton<br />

have been locked in work with their small teams on an analysis of an industry<br />

database for all oil projects around the world. We have had to pay a small<br />

fortune for access to it. Philanthropic foundations would normally run a mile<br />

at the prospect of their money being used in this way. Not on this occasion.<br />

Compiled by a Norwegian data company, Rystad, the database is used by the<br />

International Energy Agency, among others. This will be the first time it has<br />

been looked at through the type of lens that we bring to bear.<br />

The database spans all oil reserves, and resources targeted in exploration<br />

programmes. (Reserves are oil deposits that have been mapped out, are technically<br />

recoverable, and hold the potential to be produced economically. Resources<br />

are oil deposits yet to be mapped out and be tested for economic viability). The<br />

Carbon Tracker study will look at all this oil in terms of current understanding<br />

of the cost at which it can be produced and the price it would have to be sold<br />

at to make an acceptable profit. It will slice up the data project by project, so

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