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ConflictBarometer_2015

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ASIA AND OCEANIA<br />

India refrain from taking actions that might complicate the<br />

border issue. The Indian Ministry of External Affairs rejected<br />

the critique, stating that Arunachal Pradesh was an integral<br />

part of India. From May 14 to 16, during Modi's visit to China,<br />

he and Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang agreed to seek a<br />

fair resolution to the border disputes. The two sides also<br />

signed several trade and economic cooperation deals. On<br />

June 22, China opened a new border crossing between India<br />

and Tibet, enabling Indian pilgrims to visit Mount Kailash. In<br />

June, China blocked a move from India at the UN Sanctions<br />

Committee to question Pakistan's release of Zaki-ur-Rehman<br />

Lakhvi, a Lashkar-e-Toiba commander involved in the 2008<br />

terrorist attacks in Mumbai [→ India (JeM et al./Kashmir)]. In<br />

response, India addressed its concerns to the Chinese government.<br />

In September, the Indian Home Ministry claimed that China<br />

conducted construction activities in the border area close to<br />

Burtse, Jammu and Kashmir, subsequently leading to a standoff<br />

between the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and the Indo-<br />

Tibetan Border Police together with the Indian Army. China<br />

denied the standoff. On October 8, senior officials from both<br />

sides committed to resolve border disputes through dialogue<br />

and negotiations at a meeting of the Working Mechanism for<br />

Consultation and Coordination on India-China Border Affairs.<br />

On November 14, a PLA team in a light armored vehicle was<br />

seen patrolling on the Indian side of the Line of Actual Control<br />

in Chushul, Leh district, Jammu and Kashmir.<br />

A high-level Chinese military delegation and senior Indian<br />

officials held talks from November 15 to 17. Both sides<br />

endorsed concrete actions to implement the Border Defense<br />

Cooperation Agreement reached in 2013. During a visit to<br />

Beijing from December 14 to 20, the head of Indian Army's<br />

Northern Command held talks with General Sun Jianguo, PLA<br />

Deputy Chief of General Staff. Both expressed their hope for<br />

increased cooperation between the two armies and on the<br />

issue of counterterrorism. als<br />

CHINA USA<br />

Intensity: 1 | Change: | Start: 1949<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

PRC vs. USA<br />

Conflict items: system/ideology, international<br />

power<br />

The dispute over international power and ideology between<br />

the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the USA continued.<br />

While bilateral relations saw agreement on economic cooperation,<br />

climate change, cybersecurity, and peacekeeping,<br />

tensions over regional issues remained unresolved. In early<br />

April, the US condemned Chinese construction of artificial islands<br />

in the South China Sea [→ China Vietnam et al. (South<br />

China Sea)]. On May 21, the Chinese People's Liberation Army<br />

(PLA) repeatedly warned a US P8-A Poseidon surveillance aircraft<br />

to leave the airspace over disputed islands in the South<br />

China Sea. In late May, during the 14th IISS Shangri-La Dialogue<br />

in Singapore, diplomatic tensions between the two<br />

countries arose. US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter labeled<br />

PRC's activities in the South China Sea a challenge to international<br />

law and norms. Subsequently, the Pentagon claimed<br />

that the PRC had placed mobile artillery weapons systems on<br />

the Spratly Islands. Admiral Sun Jianguo, Deputy Chief of the<br />

PLA General Staff, reiterated PRC's ''Peaceful Development''<br />

policy and the legitimacy of the construction activities in the<br />

South China Sea. The Chinese Foreign Ministry later released<br />

a rebuttal to Carter's speech, stressing that the South China<br />

Sea should not be an issue between the US and China. On<br />

October 27, the missile destroyer USS Lassen conducted a<br />

''freedom of navigation operation,'' passing within twelve<br />

nautical miles of the Spratly Islands' Subi Reef. Two Chinese<br />

vessels followed the destroyer and issued warnings to leave<br />

the territory. On December 10, the Chinese Defense Ministry<br />

criticized the crossing of the twelve-nautical-miles zone off<br />

one of the Spratly Islands by two US B-52 bombers. The Pentagon<br />

declared that the route had been taken accidentally<br />

due to bad weather conditions.<br />

On April 28, PRC criticized the US Japan New Defense<br />

Guidelines for bilateral defense cooperation as ''Cold War<br />

practices'' [→ Japan China (East China Sea)].<br />

In early February, the Dalai Lama met US President Barack<br />

Obama. The Chinese government responded to the event<br />

with criticism. At the 19th US-China Human Rights Dialogue<br />

on August 13, US representatives criticized the Chinese government<br />

for the crackdown on lawyers, discrimination of<br />

Tibetan and Uyghur minorities, and the newly-passed National<br />

Security Law [→ China (opposition); China (Tibet);<br />

China (Uyghurs/Xinjiang)]. In response, China pointed out<br />

racial discrimination in the United States. On December 16,<br />

the PRC condemned US authorization of an arms deal with<br />

Taiwan and announced sanctions against the companies involved<br />

[→ China (Taiwan)].<br />

Cybersecurity remained another source of tensions. In June,<br />

the US Office of Personnel Management (OPM) had confirmed<br />

a massive data breach, compromising the records of an estimated<br />

21.5 million government employees. China denied<br />

any involvement. On September 16, the US warned China<br />

that it would consider state-sponsored cyber espionage as an<br />

''act of aggression.'' Nine days later, during a summit meeting<br />

between US President Barack Obama and Chinese leader Xi<br />

Jinping in Washington, both sides reached an agreement on<br />

cybersecurity, which included the establishment of a highlevel<br />

dialogue mechanism on cybercrime. The summit also<br />

resulted in the confirmation of a crisis reporting mechanism<br />

between both sides' militaries. lsc<br />

CHINA VIETNAM ET AL. (SOUTH CHINA SEA)<br />

Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 1949<br />

Conflict parties: Brunei vs. PRC vs. ROC vs. Malaysia<br />

vs. Vietnam vs. Philippines<br />

Conflict items: territory, international power, resources<br />

The conflict over territory, resources, and international power<br />

in the South China Sea between Brunei, the governments<br />

of the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the Republic<br />

of China (ROC), Malaysia, the Philippines, and Vietnam deescalated<br />

to a non-violent crisis.<br />

During the year, the PRC increased construction activities on<br />

its artificial islands in the disputed waters, building airstrips<br />

on Fiery Cross / Yongshu Reef and Subi / Zhubi Reef in the<br />

Spratly Islands. In early February, satellite images discovered<br />

the PRC's reclamation activity on Mischief / Meiji Reef. On<br />

October 9, it completed the construction of two lighthouses<br />

on Cuarteron/ Huayang Reef and Johnson South / Chigua<br />

Reef in the Spratly Islands.<br />

On April 29, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations<br />

(ASEAN) criticized China's landfill activities in the disputed<br />

waters and urged the adoption of a code of conduct in the<br />

136

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