ConflictBarometer_2015
ConflictBarometer_2015
ConflictBarometer_2015
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ASIA AND OCEANIA<br />
at a violent level. The Papuan side remained divided between<br />
a militant spectrum spearheaded by the fragmented<br />
Free Papua Movement (OPM), and a civic spectrum consisting<br />
of mostly non-violent domestic and transnational activist<br />
groups. In 2014, Papuan civil society and diaspora groups had<br />
formed the umbrella group United Liberation Movement for<br />
West Papua (ULMWP) in Vanuatu, incorporating the Federal<br />
Republic of West Papua, the National Coalition for Liberation,<br />
and the National Parliament of West Papua which includes<br />
the National Committee for West Papua.<br />
Throughout the year, the groups organized rallies for Papua to<br />
become a member of the Melanesian Spearhead Group (MSG).<br />
Between June 24 and 26, during the leader summit in Honiara,<br />
Solomon Islands, the MSG declined ULMWP's membership<br />
bid, but granted it observer status. Indonesia was accepted<br />
as an associate member due to its five Melanesian provinces.<br />
On the government side, newly-elected Indonesian President<br />
Joko ''Jokowi'' Widodo reiterated his commitment to peace in<br />
Papua. In May, Jokowi formally lifted the media ban on Papua,<br />
extended the moratorium on new forestry concessions, and<br />
released several activists and OPM members in line with an<br />
announcement of further amnesties. He did not, however,<br />
respond to Papuan demands of a withdrawal of the National<br />
Armed Forces (TNI). The military, its special force Komando<br />
Pasokan Khusus (Kopassus), and paramilitary mobile police<br />
brigades known as brimobs continued to conduct sweeping<br />
operations that targeted both militants and civilians.<br />
On January 1, militants killed two policemen and one security<br />
guard at the PT Freeport mine complex in Papua. Six days<br />
later, a 500-strong joint police and military force burned<br />
down houses, arrested about 100 people, and caused hundreds<br />
to flee during a sweeping operation in Utikini village,<br />
Timika Baru district, Papua. In Tembagapura, a village close<br />
to the Freeport mine, police and military forces set up security<br />
posts and expelled about 1,000 illegal gold miners on<br />
January 14, accusing them of financing militants. On April<br />
30, the police arrested commander Leonardus Magai Yogi<br />
and two other OPM members after a car chase and shootout<br />
in Nabire district, Papua. Yogi was shot and died after one<br />
month in hospital. On May 20, students and members of<br />
the West Papua National Committee (KNPB) in Jakarta staged<br />
protests in support of ULMWP's bid for MSG membership. The<br />
same day, the police arrested about 70 students and KNPB<br />
members during a rally in Manokwari, West Papua. On May<br />
21, 400 police officers escorted a rally of 700 KNPB members<br />
driving on trucks and motorcycles from Wamena to the Papua<br />
Provincial Council (DPRD) office in Jayapura and back. One<br />
week later, the police arrested at least 71 KNPB members in<br />
two rallies in Wamena and Jayapura, heavily injuring five. On<br />
June 28, two soldiers killed two people and injured three in<br />
a street quarrel with Papuan civilians in Timika, Timika Baru<br />
district. On November 29, militants in Namunaweja, Central<br />
Mambramo district, Papua, shot dead TNI Major John Frans de<br />
Fretes with his own pistol. Fretes had been sent to the village<br />
by the Regional Military Command, following reports of OPM<br />
activities. In early December, at least 120 families from the<br />
Namunaweja villages fled into surrounding forests in fear of<br />
military retaliation. On December 27, 15 militants raided a<br />
police station in Sinak town, Puncak district, Papua, killing<br />
three policemen. The militants stole seven assault rifles and<br />
ammunition. twe<br />
JAPAN CHINA (EAST CHINA SEA)<br />
Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 1971<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Japan vs. PRC vs. ROC<br />
Conflict items: territory, international power, resources,<br />
other<br />
The non-violent crisis between the People's Republic of China<br />
(PRC), the Republic of China (ROC), and Japan over international<br />
power, resources, and territory continued. Throughout<br />
the year, all conflict parties reiterated their claims over the<br />
Senkaku/Diaoyu/Diaoyutai Islands and their Exclusive Economic<br />
Zone (EEZ) in the East China Sea. Both Japan and the<br />
PRC repeatedly sent ships and airplanes into the disputed<br />
area, accusing each other of territorial incursions. Both sides<br />
also continued to build up military and constabulary capabilities,<br />
including the procurement of aircraft and helicopter<br />
carriers. The PRC voiced concerns over Japan's new security<br />
bills, lifting the country's constitutional restrictions on collective<br />
self-defense. The diet passed the bill on September<br />
19, against strong protests of opposition parties and civil<br />
society groups. In the course of the year, Japan announced<br />
the deployment of ground troops on the islands of Ishigaki,<br />
Miyako, and Yonaguni, close to the disputed territories. On<br />
January 23, satellite imagery confirmed the construction of<br />
a Chinese military base with a radar installation and reportedly<br />
ten helicopter landing pads on Nanji Island, Zhejiang<br />
Province, roughly 300 km from the disputed islands.<br />
On March 4, the PRC launched a website that stated its territorial<br />
claims in multiple languages. On March 16, Japan's<br />
foreign ministry published an official Chinese map from 1969,<br />
contending that it proved Chinese acknowledgement of its<br />
claims. Three days later, senior Chinese and Japanese officials<br />
met in Tokyo for the first security dialogue since January<br />
2011, negotiating the establishment of a maritime hotline.<br />
On April 9, both sides resumed their parliamentary exchange,<br />
last held in January 2012. On April 27, Japan and the USA issued<br />
new guidelines for their defense cooperation, improving<br />
the interoperability of their armed forces and establishing an<br />
Alliance Coordination Mechanism to control escalating crises<br />
on remote islands, among other things. The PRC urged the<br />
US not to include the disputed territory in the guidelines and<br />
to stay neutral. In May and June, the US approved potential<br />
arms sales to Japan including 17 V22-Osprey tiltrotor planes<br />
and four E-2D Advanced Hawkeye aircrafts.<br />
On June 5, Japan and the Philippines agreed to strengthen<br />
their security cooperation, jointly opposing ''unilateral attempts<br />
to change the status quo.'' One week later, the PRC<br />
warned Japan against jeopardizing the improvement of relations<br />
by ''hyping up'' the South China Sea issue [→ China <br />
Vietnam et al. (South China Sea)]. On September 15, Japan<br />
and Vietnam jointly expressed concerns over unilateral actions<br />
in the South China Sea.<br />
On June 12, a PRC military document showed its consideration<br />
of the use of drone patrols in the East China Sea. On<br />
July 22, Japan's foreign ministry published 14 photographs<br />
showing PRC offshore platforms, claiming that they violated<br />
the 2008 agreement on jointly developing the gas and oil<br />
resources in the disputed waters. China rejected the accusations,<br />
stating that the platforms were in undisputed territory.<br />
In late July, former ROC Prime Minister Lee Teng-hui visited<br />
Japan and asserted Japan's territorial claims, referring to<br />
them as ''Senkaku'' instead of Diaoyutai, ROC's official desig-<br />
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