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ConflictBarometer_2015

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ASIA AND OCEANIA<br />

at a violent level. The Papuan side remained divided between<br />

a militant spectrum spearheaded by the fragmented<br />

Free Papua Movement (OPM), and a civic spectrum consisting<br />

of mostly non-violent domestic and transnational activist<br />

groups. In 2014, Papuan civil society and diaspora groups had<br />

formed the umbrella group United Liberation Movement for<br />

West Papua (ULMWP) in Vanuatu, incorporating the Federal<br />

Republic of West Papua, the National Coalition for Liberation,<br />

and the National Parliament of West Papua which includes<br />

the National Committee for West Papua.<br />

Throughout the year, the groups organized rallies for Papua to<br />

become a member of the Melanesian Spearhead Group (MSG).<br />

Between June 24 and 26, during the leader summit in Honiara,<br />

Solomon Islands, the MSG declined ULMWP's membership<br />

bid, but granted it observer status. Indonesia was accepted<br />

as an associate member due to its five Melanesian provinces.<br />

On the government side, newly-elected Indonesian President<br />

Joko ''Jokowi'' Widodo reiterated his commitment to peace in<br />

Papua. In May, Jokowi formally lifted the media ban on Papua,<br />

extended the moratorium on new forestry concessions, and<br />

released several activists and OPM members in line with an<br />

announcement of further amnesties. He did not, however,<br />

respond to Papuan demands of a withdrawal of the National<br />

Armed Forces (TNI). The military, its special force Komando<br />

Pasokan Khusus (Kopassus), and paramilitary mobile police<br />

brigades known as brimobs continued to conduct sweeping<br />

operations that targeted both militants and civilians.<br />

On January 1, militants killed two policemen and one security<br />

guard at the PT Freeport mine complex in Papua. Six days<br />

later, a 500-strong joint police and military force burned<br />

down houses, arrested about 100 people, and caused hundreds<br />

to flee during a sweeping operation in Utikini village,<br />

Timika Baru district, Papua. In Tembagapura, a village close<br />

to the Freeport mine, police and military forces set up security<br />

posts and expelled about 1,000 illegal gold miners on<br />

January 14, accusing them of financing militants. On April<br />

30, the police arrested commander Leonardus Magai Yogi<br />

and two other OPM members after a car chase and shootout<br />

in Nabire district, Papua. Yogi was shot and died after one<br />

month in hospital. On May 20, students and members of<br />

the West Papua National Committee (KNPB) in Jakarta staged<br />

protests in support of ULMWP's bid for MSG membership. The<br />

same day, the police arrested about 70 students and KNPB<br />

members during a rally in Manokwari, West Papua. On May<br />

21, 400 police officers escorted a rally of 700 KNPB members<br />

driving on trucks and motorcycles from Wamena to the Papua<br />

Provincial Council (DPRD) office in Jayapura and back. One<br />

week later, the police arrested at least 71 KNPB members in<br />

two rallies in Wamena and Jayapura, heavily injuring five. On<br />

June 28, two soldiers killed two people and injured three in<br />

a street quarrel with Papuan civilians in Timika, Timika Baru<br />

district. On November 29, militants in Namunaweja, Central<br />

Mambramo district, Papua, shot dead TNI Major John Frans de<br />

Fretes with his own pistol. Fretes had been sent to the village<br />

by the Regional Military Command, following reports of OPM<br />

activities. In early December, at least 120 families from the<br />

Namunaweja villages fled into surrounding forests in fear of<br />

military retaliation. On December 27, 15 militants raided a<br />

police station in Sinak town, Puncak district, Papua, killing<br />

three policemen. The militants stole seven assault rifles and<br />

ammunition. twe<br />

JAPAN CHINA (EAST CHINA SEA)<br />

Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 1971<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Japan vs. PRC vs. ROC<br />

Conflict items: territory, international power, resources,<br />

other<br />

The non-violent crisis between the People's Republic of China<br />

(PRC), the Republic of China (ROC), and Japan over international<br />

power, resources, and territory continued. Throughout<br />

the year, all conflict parties reiterated their claims over the<br />

Senkaku/Diaoyu/Diaoyutai Islands and their Exclusive Economic<br />

Zone (EEZ) in the East China Sea. Both Japan and the<br />

PRC repeatedly sent ships and airplanes into the disputed<br />

area, accusing each other of territorial incursions. Both sides<br />

also continued to build up military and constabulary capabilities,<br />

including the procurement of aircraft and helicopter<br />

carriers. The PRC voiced concerns over Japan's new security<br />

bills, lifting the country's constitutional restrictions on collective<br />

self-defense. The diet passed the bill on September<br />

19, against strong protests of opposition parties and civil<br />

society groups. In the course of the year, Japan announced<br />

the deployment of ground troops on the islands of Ishigaki,<br />

Miyako, and Yonaguni, close to the disputed territories. On<br />

January 23, satellite imagery confirmed the construction of<br />

a Chinese military base with a radar installation and reportedly<br />

ten helicopter landing pads on Nanji Island, Zhejiang<br />

Province, roughly 300 km from the disputed islands.<br />

On March 4, the PRC launched a website that stated its territorial<br />

claims in multiple languages. On March 16, Japan's<br />

foreign ministry published an official Chinese map from 1969,<br />

contending that it proved Chinese acknowledgement of its<br />

claims. Three days later, senior Chinese and Japanese officials<br />

met in Tokyo for the first security dialogue since January<br />

2011, negotiating the establishment of a maritime hotline.<br />

On April 9, both sides resumed their parliamentary exchange,<br />

last held in January 2012. On April 27, Japan and the USA issued<br />

new guidelines for their defense cooperation, improving<br />

the interoperability of their armed forces and establishing an<br />

Alliance Coordination Mechanism to control escalating crises<br />

on remote islands, among other things. The PRC urged the<br />

US not to include the disputed territory in the guidelines and<br />

to stay neutral. In May and June, the US approved potential<br />

arms sales to Japan including 17 V22-Osprey tiltrotor planes<br />

and four E-2D Advanced Hawkeye aircrafts.<br />

On June 5, Japan and the Philippines agreed to strengthen<br />

their security cooperation, jointly opposing ''unilateral attempts<br />

to change the status quo.'' One week later, the PRC<br />

warned Japan against jeopardizing the improvement of relations<br />

by ''hyping up'' the South China Sea issue [→ China <br />

Vietnam et al. (South China Sea)]. On September 15, Japan<br />

and Vietnam jointly expressed concerns over unilateral actions<br />

in the South China Sea.<br />

On June 12, a PRC military document showed its consideration<br />

of the use of drone patrols in the East China Sea. On<br />

July 22, Japan's foreign ministry published 14 photographs<br />

showing PRC offshore platforms, claiming that they violated<br />

the 2008 agreement on jointly developing the gas and oil<br />

resources in the disputed waters. China rejected the accusations,<br />

stating that the platforms were in undisputed territory.<br />

In late July, former ROC Prime Minister Lee Teng-hui visited<br />

Japan and asserted Japan's territorial claims, referring to<br />

them as ''Senkaku'' instead of Diaoyutai, ROC's official desig-<br />

144

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