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ConflictBarometer_2015

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SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA<br />

recurring attacks by Fulani militants and reprisals by the military<br />

killed six soldiers and more than 50 civilians, militants,<br />

and Tarok cattle rustlers in several villages in Plateau and<br />

Taraba. Another 29 were killed in raids by herdsmen in Guma<br />

LGA, Benue.<br />

Recurring violence occurred frequently in Logo LGA. At least<br />

96 were killed by pastoralists attacking five villages armed<br />

with guns and machetes between May 20 and 25. In Barkin<br />

Ladi, Kanam, and Riyom LGAs, Plateau, violence increased<br />

over the course of May and June, resulting in the deaths<br />

of more than 160 people. In Bat, Foron, and Zakupang<br />

villages, Barkin Ladi LGA, 34 were killed in Fulani attacks and<br />

subsequent clashes with Christian farmers erupted from May<br />

2 to 5. About 50 cattle rustlers attacked Cigama, Zamfara<br />

State, looting cattle, burning houses, and killing at least 37<br />

villagers on July 4.<br />

As in years before, conflict intensity decreased in the second<br />

half of the year due to climatic conditions. While more than<br />

1,000 were killed from January to July, violence between<br />

pastoralists and farmers led to the deaths of approx. 250<br />

since August. Approx. 5,000 fled following an attack in Mangu<br />

LGA, Plateau, on September 16, when Berom youths invaded<br />

Kadunung village in an alleged reprisal attack, shooting<br />

indiscriminately at fleeing residents, killing 23 people and<br />

destroying 295 houses. In a similar attack on Shiroro LGA,<br />

Niger State, six days later, Fulani militants killed more than<br />

35, shooting with automatic rifles on fleeing villagers. On<br />

October 10, Berom youths engaged cattle rustlers in Foron,<br />

Barkin Ladi LGA, in a gunfight, killing twelve pastoralists.<br />

In November, another wave of violence affected the states<br />

of Delta, Edo, Enugu, Gombe, Kogi, and Taraba. In the most<br />

violent incident, nine communities came under attack by<br />

pastoralists in Dekina LGA, on November 12. A total of 22<br />

were killed and thousands displaced when militants entered<br />

the villages, shooting sporadically. In a reprisal attack for two<br />

Fulani herdsmen ambushed and killed by Berom villagers,<br />

herdsmen killed 16 on the outskirts of Jos, Plateau, on December<br />

13. Over the course of the year, the conflict claimed<br />

more than 1,400 lives and displaced approx. 300,000 people.<br />

seb<br />

NIGERIA (MASSOB / BIAFRA)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1967<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

MASSOB vs. government<br />

secession<br />

The conflict over secession between the Movement for the<br />

Actualization of the Sovereign State of Biafra (MASSOB) and<br />

the government escalated to a violent crisis. Throughout<br />

the year, MASSOB members staged several demonstrations,<br />

reiterating their demand for establishing an independent<br />

state named Biafra consisting of the south-eastern states of<br />

Abia, Akwa Ibom, Anambra, Bayelsa, Edo, Cross River, Ebonyi,<br />

Enugu, Delta, Imo, and Rivers. The government continued to<br />

prescribe membership in the organization as illegal.<br />

During a burial ceremony of a MASSOB member in Imo state<br />

on January 23, police forces used tear gas and shot at MAS-<br />

SOB members. While MASSOB claimed that three people<br />

died and five were injured, the police denied this. On March<br />

4, police forces raided a MASSOB office in Awka North Local<br />

Government Area (LGA), Anambra state, confiscating documents<br />

of the group.<br />

MASSOB organized protests in the states of Abia, Anambra,<br />

Enugue, Ebonyi, and Imo on March 13, demanding the removal<br />

of the Independent National Electoral Commission's<br />

chairman Attahiru Jega. They accused him of favoring the All<br />

Progressives Congress's presidential candidate Muhammadu<br />

Buhari [→ Nigeria (northerners southerners)]. On April 9,<br />

the police claimed to have uncovered a MASSOB-run bomb<br />

factory in Umuokirika village, Aboh Mbaise LGA, Imo, seizing<br />

IED components and arresting two members of the group. In<br />

mid-April, MASSOB issued a statement demanding the UN recognize<br />

Biafra as a sovereign state. A MASSOB demonstration<br />

turned violent in Owerri, Imo, on May 30 when security forces<br />

tried to disperse the crowd of more than 500 people with<br />

tear gas. Protesters subsequently threw stones at the police.<br />

In the course of the actions, the police arrested 68 MASSOB<br />

members and charged 62 with conspiracy and belonging to<br />

an illegal organization. Reportedly, Biafran uniforms, ID cards,<br />

and flags were confiscated from the detainees. On August<br />

22, two individuals allegedly carrying MASSOB insignia were<br />

shot dead by police officers in Onitsha, Anambra.<br />

Beginning in late August, MASSOB staged several large-scale<br />

protests in the south-east. On November 13, thousands<br />

of protesters, belonging to the Indigenous People of Biafra<br />

(IPOB) and MASSOB, protested in Owerri, demanding<br />

the release of IPOB leader Nnamdi Kanu, director of the<br />

London-based Radio Biafra. Reportedly, the police had arrested<br />

Kanu in mid-October. On November 30, MASSOB<br />

expelled its leader Chief Ralph Uwazuruike from the organization,<br />

accusing him of only pursuing his own interest. He<br />

subsequently founded a new organization, the Biafra Independent<br />

Movement. On December 1, thousands of protesters<br />

blocked Onitsha's Niger Bridge linking the states of Anambra<br />

and Delta. They demanded Kanu's release. Eight protesters<br />

and two police officers were killed in confrontations during<br />

the demonstrations. Reportedly, 137 demonstrators were<br />

arrested. Five days later, MASSOB ended the protests in<br />

the south-east, declaring their willingness to negotiate over<br />

Kanu's release. dbi<br />

NIGERIA (NORTHERNERS SOUTHERNERS)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1960<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

northerners vs. southerners<br />

system/ideology, national power<br />

The conflict over national power and the orientation of the political<br />

system between northerners and southerners remained<br />

violent due to ongoing rivalries between the People's Democratic<br />

Party (PDP) and the All Progressives Congress (APC),<br />

accompanying the general elections.<br />

Due to security concerns regarding heavy Boko Haram violence,<br />

the elections were postponed from February 14 to<br />

March 28 [→ Nigeria, Cameroon, Chad, Niger (Boko Haram)].<br />

The origin of the presidential candidates underlined regional<br />

disparities as PDP's candidate and then-president Goodluck<br />

Jonathan from the Niger Delta was widely supported by<br />

Christian southerners, while APC's candidate Muhammadu<br />

Buhari from Katsina State was said to represent the mostly<br />

Muslim inhabited north. APC and the influential Northern<br />

Elders Forum (NEF) strictly denied Jonathan's entitlement to<br />

run for another presidency, claiming a third term would have<br />

contravened the PDP's unwritten zoning agreement according<br />

to which presidency should alternate between a northern<br />

candidate and a southern candidate.<br />

The NEF and its southern counterparts, former Niger Delta<br />

82

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