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SHAPING THE FUTURE HOW CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS CAN POWER HUMAN DEVELOPMENT

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FIGURE 4.12:<br />

Pension replacement rates provide a measure of adequacy<br />

Source: OECD 2014.<br />

Notes: The pension coverage rate is that of individuals who are actively working and contributing to a pension. It does not include<br />

individuals covered by non-contributory pension schemes.<br />

with available data, 17 spent less than 1 percent<br />

of GDP on pensions in 2010 to 2011. Australia<br />

and New Zealand spent around 5 percent, while<br />

Japan spent almost 12 percent (Figure 4.14).<br />

Current low spending on pensions in most<br />

Asia-Pacific countries is expected to rise. In<br />

emerging economies, there was a 2 percentage<br />

point jump in public pension spending as the<br />

share of GDP between 1990 and 2010, with<br />

predicted climbs in advanced and emerging<br />

economies by an average of 1 and 3 percentage<br />

points over the next two and four decades, respectively.<br />

72 The proportion of the government<br />

budget spent on social pensions ranges from<br />

0.05 percent in India and Viet Nam to 0.35<br />

percent in Nepal. However, research indicates<br />

that the cost should range from 1 percent to<br />

1.5 percent of GDP in the medium term, and<br />

2 to 2.5 percent in the long run. 73 The Japanese<br />

have had some experience in taking measures to<br />

FIGURE 4.13:<br />

Non-health public expenditure on pensions<br />

is very low in Asia-Pacific compared to other<br />

regions<br />

Source: ILO 2014a.<br />

Pensions in many<br />

cases do not provide<br />

enough income<br />

for self-sufficiency<br />

135

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