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CASE STUDIES FROM AFRICA

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The Service Sector in Nigeria<br />

Services Sector Performance: Contribution to GDP<br />

The Nigerian services sector has assumed an important role in the last two decades due to<br />

its remarkable development as a significant growth driver. During this period, demand for<br />

services has risen sharply, coinciding with growth in the economy and confirming the<br />

services sector’s high income elasticity, generally, as the consumption of many services such<br />

as education, health, and transportation expand in tandem with rising income per capita.<br />

The growth of Nigeria’s services sector is somewhat insulated from manufacturing and, to a<br />

lesser extent, agricultural activities, which have suffered more in respect of supply<br />

constraints.<br />

In constant factor cost, the services sector contributed about 25% to GDP in 1985/86 on the<br />

eve of the Structural Adjustment Programme (Table 1). This contribution, which reached<br />

26% in 1994, was maintained roughly in 1991, but after a slight decline in 1996 increased to<br />

about 30% in 2001, and assumed an upward trend thereafter, reaching its highest point of<br />

42.4% in 2012. Thus service activities have expanded their influence in the economy over the<br />

last 5 years, accounting for almost 40% of real GDP. This recent contribution of the services<br />

sector is inching close to that of Uganda (40%), but is still at a significant distance from<br />

Korea and Brazil, which reached 60% and 80% respectively in the mid-1990s. Nigeria’s<br />

services sector favourably competes with the agricultural sector as the main growth driver<br />

in recent times.<br />

Table 1: Size of Nigeria’s Services Sector<br />

Year<br />

Total Services Output (N Total GDP (N mill) Share of Services in GDP<br />

mill)<br />

(%)<br />

1985 50190.4 201036.3 24.9<br />

1986 50975.32 205971.4 24.7<br />

1991 69794.6 265379.1 26.3<br />

1996 78536.96 293745.4 26.7<br />

2001 106053.3 356994.3 29.7<br />

2006 192057.1 595821.6 32.2<br />

2012 377416.9 888893 42.4<br />

Source: Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin, 2012.<br />

Nigeria’s services output is highly diversified, with certain components serving as input for<br />

some production activities, and others as final demand. Table 2 shows the composition of<br />

the services sector in terms of the share of services value added in GDP. The available data<br />

cover 22 subsectors spanning building and construction, wholesale and retail trade, road<br />

transport, rail transport and pipelines, water transport, air transport, other transport<br />

services, telecommunications, post, electricity, water, hotel and restaurant, financial<br />

institutions, insurance, real estate, business services, public administration, education,<br />

health, private non-profit organisations, other services, and broadcasting.<br />

Of the 22 subsectors, significant contributions to services output occur in only 6 of them. In<br />

order of ranking, these six subsectors are wholesale and retail trade, financial services, road<br />

transport, building and construction, real estate, and electricity. The rest of the services<br />

subsectors—which ordinarily should provide important inputs to the tangible production<br />

sector, particularly manufacturing, oil and gas, and agriculture—do not account for a<br />

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