23.06.2016 Views

CASE STUDIES FROM AFRICA

30769-doc-services_exports_for_growth_and_development_africa

30769-doc-services_exports_for_growth_and_development_africa

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

significant share of services output in GDP. The unimpressive performance, an offshoot of<br />

inefficient and ineffective service delivery of the majority of the services subsectors was<br />

attributed to government restrictive policies embodied in long periods of market<br />

restrictions, dominant government ownership, use of obsolete technology, weak regulatory<br />

environment, and poor management. 4<br />

In 2013, Nigeria rebased its GDP from 1990 to 2010 as the base year, and it amounted to<br />

N 80.2 trillion (or US$ 509.9 billion) representing an increase of about 89% based on the old<br />

GDP estimate for 2013 which was N42.4 trillion (or US$ 269.5 billion). However, only<br />

preliminary figures were released in April 2014 and details were expected to be released at<br />

the end of June, so it is not possible to update the information shown in Table 2 below on the<br />

contribution of different services sectors to GDP. Nevertheless, the new figures reveal that in<br />

2012 the Nigerian GDP consisted of the following: agriculture, 22.4%; industry, 26.72%; and<br />

crude oil and natural gas, 15.89%. Interestingly, now telecommunications and information<br />

services comprise 8.73% and music production accounts for 1.2% of GDP. The share of<br />

financial services in GDP was 2.29% in 2013; furthermore, the sector grew by 32.3% in<br />

nominal terms in 2013. Overall, according to the new methodology, services comprised<br />

50.9% of GDP in 2012. GDP estimates at the 1990 base year indicated that wholesale and<br />

retail trade was the largest component of the services sector. Next in rank were hotel and<br />

restaurants and then real estate services. Using 2010 as the new base year, wholesale and<br />

retail trade remains the largest component of the services sector, but telecommunication<br />

ranks next, followed by real estate services. 5<br />

Table 2: Share of Services Value Added in Nigerian GDP by Economic Activity<br />

Year<br />

Building &<br />

Construction<br />

Wholesale &<br />

Retail Trade<br />

Road<br />

Transport<br />

Rail<br />

Transport &<br />

Pipelines<br />

Water<br />

Transport<br />

Air Transport<br />

Other<br />

Transport<br />

Services<br />

Telecomm. Post Electricity Water<br />

1985 1.65 13.87 2.46 0.0713 0.21 0.16 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.51 0.1<br />

1986 1.6 14.01 2.13 0.0672 0.15 0.13 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.32 0.11<br />

1991 1.71 13.94 1.83 0.0179 0.11 0.1 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.31 0.14<br />

1996 1.8 13.5 1.92 0.0004 0.1 0.07 0.11 0.06 0.04 0.34 0.15<br />

2001 2.02 12.39 1.87 0.0004 0.09 0.06 0.18 0.67 0.05 3.27 0.14<br />

2006 1.62 14.95 2.4 0.0003 0.06 0.06 0.15 1.77 0.06 3.41 0.13<br />

2012 2.19 19.92 2.41 0.0003 0.05 0.06 0.14 6.98 0.07 2.79 0.16<br />

Year<br />

Hotel &<br />

Restaurant<br />

Financial<br />

Institutions<br />

Insurance Real Estate<br />

Business<br />

Services<br />

Public<br />

Administration<br />

Education<br />

Health<br />

Private<br />

NGOs<br />

Other<br />

Services<br />

Broad<br />

casting<br />

1985 0.26 1.58 0.13 1.77 0.16 1.12 0.25 0.07 0.005 0.33 0.08<br />

1986 0.26 1.87 0.14 1.75 0.17 1.11 0.25 0.07 0.005 0.34 0.07<br />

1991 0.21 4.41 0.15 1.53 0.14 0.95 0.21 0.06 0.002 0.28 0.06<br />

1996 0.2 4.8 0.15 1.61 0.15 0.94 0.21 0.06 0.001 0.45 0.06<br />

2001 0.2 4.86 0.16 1.69 0.15 0.84 0.19 0.05 0.004 0.73 0.09<br />

2006 0.41 3.77 0.13 1.47 0.12 0.72 0.18 0.04 0.003 0.69 0.08<br />

2012 0.55 3.21 0.16 1.85 0.11 0.62 0.21 0.05 0.004 0.83 0.08<br />

Source: Trade Policy Research and Training Programme (2006) and Babatunde (2011). Data between 2010 and 2011 were<br />

computed from CBN Statistical Bulletin, 2012.<br />

Nevertheless, over the last decade, certain changes have taken place in the structure of<br />

output in the services economy, prominent among which is the development of the<br />

4<br />

Bankole, 2004; Bankole and Oyejide, 2005. Electricity services as a share of total output, however, improved<br />

from 2001. But whilst government demonstrated renewed efforts to revive the rail system, it has remained<br />

inactive for many years with obsolete tracks and equipment. Similarly, water transportation has been hampered<br />

by the poor state of water routes.<br />

5<br />

See speech by Dr. Yemi Kale, CEO of the National Bureau of Statistics, April 6. 2014.<br />

77

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!