Future of an Ageing Population
gs-16-10-future-of-an-ageing-population
gs-16-10-future-of-an-ageing-population
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Policy Implication<br />
M<strong>an</strong>y <strong>of</strong> today’s older people own their home, giving them some fin<strong>an</strong>cial<br />
security <strong>an</strong>d allowing them to leave <strong>an</strong> inherit<strong>an</strong>ce. Increasing property<br />
prices <strong>an</strong>d decreasing levels <strong>of</strong> home ownership in younger generations<br />
could affect this, turning homes from fin<strong>an</strong>cial assets into fin<strong>an</strong>cial burdens.<br />
4.7 Housing to enable inter-generational fin<strong>an</strong>cial tr<strong>an</strong>sfers<br />
Housing plays a signific<strong>an</strong>t role in tr<strong>an</strong>sferring wealth from one generation to the<br />
next. However, the ageing population <strong>an</strong>d increased longevity are likely to affect<br />
the size <strong>of</strong> inherit<strong>an</strong>ces as well as when people receive them.<br />
Younger cohorts are on course to have lower net wealth th<strong>an</strong> older generations<br />
- this may be the product <strong>of</strong> falling wages since the recession, however there is<br />
evidence that today’s younger people are less likely to have savings or assets even<br />
when they earn more th<strong>an</strong> older cohorts did at the same age 126 . This indicates that<br />
there may be a generational difference in attitudes towards saving. This may be<br />
driven by the increase in home-ownership in the second half <strong>of</strong> the 20th century,<br />
which has resulted in more younger people receiving or expecting to receive<br />
some kind <strong>of</strong> inherit<strong>an</strong>ce 19 . Lower savings among younger cohorts may be entirely<br />
rational if they receive their expected inherit<strong>an</strong>ces, <strong>an</strong>d these inherit<strong>an</strong>ces in turn<br />
could increase their rates <strong>of</strong> home ownership 19 .<br />
Although there is no definitive measure for judging the adequacy <strong>of</strong> retirement<br />
savings 19 , the gap between expected <strong>an</strong>d actual inherit<strong>an</strong>ce poses a potential<br />
problem for future generations.<br />
As life expect<strong>an</strong>cy increases, there is a greater likelihood <strong>of</strong> two generations <strong>of</strong> a<br />
family living until both generations have entered retirement. This me<strong>an</strong>s that, even<br />
if people do inherit money <strong>an</strong>d are able to use it to buy their home, they will do so<br />
at a later stage in life. This may leave them with more <strong>of</strong> the mortgage to repay in<br />
later life. The expected effects <strong>of</strong> the ageing population on time spent in ill-health<br />
could also signific<strong>an</strong>tly affect the value <strong>of</strong> future inherit<strong>an</strong>ces, as people potentially<br />
need more <strong>of</strong> their assets to fund retirement <strong>an</strong>d care 19 .<br />
Policy Implication<br />
Housing plays <strong>an</strong> import<strong>an</strong>t role in tr<strong>an</strong>sferring wealth from one generation<br />
to the next. Extending life expect<strong>an</strong>cy <strong>an</strong>d falling home ownership rates are<br />
likely to reduce or negate the value <strong>of</strong> future inherit<strong>an</strong>ces, as housing wealth<br />
increasingly funds longer periods in retirement <strong>an</strong>d ill-health.<br />
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