Future of an Ageing Population
gs-16-10-future-of-an-ageing-population
gs-16-10-future-of-an-ageing-population
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5.4 The impact <strong>of</strong> ageing <strong>an</strong>d ‘verticalisation’ on families,<br />
care <strong>an</strong>d support<br />
<strong>Population</strong> dynamics relating to ageing – falling fertility, falling mortality<br />
<strong>an</strong>d increased longevity – are also having direct impacts on families. The<br />
shift to a low mortality society leads to <strong>an</strong> increase in the number <strong>of</strong> living<br />
generations, a process known as the ‘verticalisation’ <strong>of</strong> family structures.<br />
The result is that most individuals will spend some time as part <strong>of</strong> a three<br />
or four-generation family.<br />
St<strong>an</strong>dardised me<strong>an</strong> age <strong>of</strong> mother at birth(s) (years)<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
23<br />
22<br />
21<br />
20<br />
1938 1944 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010<br />
Year<br />
Birth type:<br />
First Births<br />
All births<br />
Figure 5.3: St<strong>an</strong>dardised me<strong>an</strong> age <strong>of</strong> mother for Engl<strong>an</strong>d <strong>an</strong>d Wales, for all births (including<br />
first, second, third births etc.) <strong>an</strong>d for first births only, 1938-2013 141 .<br />
The rising me<strong>an</strong> age <strong>of</strong> first birth me<strong>an</strong>s there will also be longer gaps between<br />
the generations M (see Figure 5.3). This trend is related to increasingly delayed<br />
life course tr<strong>an</strong>sitions, such as full economic independence from parents,<br />
formal adult union through marriage or committed long-term cohabitation <strong>an</strong>d<br />
purchasing <strong>of</strong> <strong>an</strong> independent home. Falling fertility me<strong>an</strong>s that ‘verticalisation’<br />
<strong>an</strong>d the delay in life course tr<strong>an</strong>sitions take place in parallel to a decrease in<br />
the number <strong>of</strong> living relatives within each generation - a reduction in horizontal<br />
M Increasing longevity <strong>an</strong>d postponed childbearing have opposing effects on the generational structure<br />
<strong>of</strong> families. Longer lives me<strong>an</strong> that several generations <strong>of</strong> family members are more likely be alive at<br />
the same time; delayed childbearing results in a growing age gap between generations, which reduces<br />
the likelihood that multiple generations are alive at the same time. In the UK increases in longevity are<br />
outpacing delays in childbearing, me<strong>an</strong>ing on average more generations will be alive at the same time,<br />
but with longer gaps between the generations.<br />
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